Canada's Path to the Round of 32 at the 2026 World Cup

Having earned their first-ever points in a FIFA World Cup, Canada is now hungry for more. Their next challenge comes on Wednesday against Switzerland as they aim to finish atop Group B.

Under Jesse Marsch’s leadership, Canada has made historic progress by drawing with Bosnia and Herzegovina before routing a nine-man Qatar team 6-0. As co-hosts playing on home soil, they want to ensure the best possible position heading into the knockout rounds by winning their group. Their final hurdle is Switzerland, ranked 19th globally by FIFA.

What Canada Must Do to Reach the Knockout Stage

Canada stands close to securing a spot in the knockout phase. The only unlikely combination of events would stop them from advancing.

Technically, the team is guaranteed at least third place, but realistically, they are almost certain to finish in the top two. Losing to Switzerland while Bosnia and Herzegovina beat Qatar by a wide margin might push Canada to third place, but even then, four points would probably be enough to qualify.

How Canada Can Win Group B

The battle for first place in Group B boils down to the final match against Switzerland. Canada holds the tiebreaker advantage due to a better goal difference.

A draw will secure the top spot for Canada, while a win naturally guarantees it. A loss means finishing second unless Bosnia and Herzegovina deliver an extraordinary victory over Qatar.

Potential Opponents in the Knockout Rounds

If Canada wins Group B, their next opponent will be a third-place finisher from groups E, F, G, I, or J. The most probable adversaries include Iran, Egypt, or Belgium from Group G.

Finishing second in the group would pit Canada against the runner-up from Group A, likely South Korea, Czechia, or South Africa.

Odds and Predictions

DraftKings currently favors Canada to top Group B, with odds of -160 compared to Switzerland’s +125. However, Canada remains a long shot to claim the World Cup trophy, with odds sitting at +15,000.