Como vs Sassuolo Match Preview: Serie A Showdown

On the shores of Lake Como, under the autumn light of Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia in Como, a newly ambitious Como side welcomes Sassuolo on 24 October 2026. For the hosts, this is another chance to cement their place among the Serie A frontrunners; for the visitors, it is about pulling away from the anxiety of the lower half and proving that their attacking talent can outweigh defensive frailties.

Season Context

Como arrive in this eighth round as one of the early revelations of Serie A. Fifth in the table with 14 points from 7 matches, they have built their start on balance: 4 wins, 2 draws and only 1 defeat, with 12 goals scored and 7 conceded. A positive goal difference of +5 underlines a team that scores regularly while keeping things relatively tight at the back.

Sassuolo, by contrast, sit 13th with 8 points from 7 games. Their record of 2 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats is the portrait of inconsistency, and the goal difference of -2 (12 scored, 14 conceded) tells the story of a side that can hurt opponents but too often leaves the door open. They are not in immediate trouble, but they are one bad week away from being dragged toward the relegation fight.

Form & Momentum

Como’s recent form reads WDLWW, a sequence that shows more resilience than fragility. Four wins and two draws in 7 matches (14 points from a possible 21) point to a confident group, and their 12 goals in those 7 games mean they average just over 1.7 goals per match, while conceding only 7 in the same span (1 per game). At home they have been hard to beat, with 2 goals scored and just 1 conceded across 2 matches, suggesting a side comfortable controlling tight encounters at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia.

Sassuolo’s pattern, LDLWD, is far more erratic. Two victories and two draws from 7 games are offset by 3 defeats, and while they match Como’s 12 goals scored (around 1.7 per game), they leak 14 (2 per match), making them significantly more vulnerable defensively. Their away numbers are particularly worrying: in 4 road games they have failed to win, taking just 1 draw and suffering 3 defeats, with 6 goals scored but 10 conceded. Momentum, on paper, leans clearly toward the home side.

Head-to-Head Patterns

Recent history between these two clubs adds another layer of intrigue. The last meeting came on 17 April 2026, when Sassuolo edged Como 2-1 at MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore (Serie A, season 2025, April 2026), a reminder that the Neroverdi can still impose themselves when their attack clicks. Earlier that campaign, on 28 November 2025, Como had used home advantage to full effect, beating Sassuolo 2-0 at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia (Serie A, season 2025, November 2025) with a controlled, clinical performance. And in the cup, Como struck an even heavier blow: a 3-0 victory over Sassuolo at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia on 24 September 2025 (Coppa Italia, season 2025, September 2025), a night that underlined how dangerous Como can be in front of their own fans.

Tactical Preview

Como’s statistical profile points toward a structured, possession-oriented side that favours a 4-2-3-1 shape (used in 6 of their 7 league matches). With 12 goals from 7 fixtures and only 7 conceded, they have found a strong balance between their double pivot and an attacking midfield line that supplies the striker. The creativity of N. Paz, who has 2 goals and 2 assists in 7 appearances and an impressive passing accuracy of 89%, is central to their build-up; he links midfield and attack and provides the final pass. Ahead of him, T. Douvikas has been a focal point with 3 goals in 7 matches, taking 15 shots with 10 on target, a sign of efficient finishing and smart movement in the box.

In defence, Como’s record of conceding just 1 goal per game, and only 1 in 2 home matches, suggests a back four comfortable protecting their penalty area. The absence of T. Chalobah, A. Diao and J. Rodriguez, all ruled out, could slightly reduce depth, while the fitness of M. Kean and M. Papaccioli remains uncertain. Even so, their overall defensive numbers and one clean sheet already in the league hint at a unit that rarely collapses.

Sassuolo are built differently. Their most frequent system is a 4-3-3 (used 5 times), occasionally shifting to 4-2-3-1. This naturally pushes them toward attacking football: 12 goals in 7 games, with no match yet in which they have failed to score. The emergence of Vasilije Adžić as a key figure — 3 goals and 1 assist in just 281 minutes, plus 12 key passes — gives them a dangerous midfield runner who can arrive late in the box or create between the lines. Around him, names like D. Berardi and A. Laurienté still command respect, even if their early-season output is not detailed here.

But Sassuolo’s openness comes at a cost. Conceding 14 goals in 7 games, and 10 of those in 4 away fixtures, reveals a back line that struggles to manage transitions and protect the spaces left by their aggressive wide players. They have yet to keep a clean sheet, and with several defenders and midfielders out — D. Boloca, J. Idzes, I. Kone, F. Leysen and Y. Paz all missing — their ability to rotate and shore up the defence is badly compromised. Como’s structured 4-2-3-1, with a strong creative hub in Paz and a confident finisher in Douvikas, looks well suited to exploit that fragility, especially between the lines and in wide areas.

Statistical Snapshot

• Competition: Serie A, season 2026 — 24 October 2026.
• Venue: Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como.
• Prediction: Win or draw for Como — Double chance : Como or draw.
• Win Probabilities: Home 45% / Draw 45% / Away 10%.
• Model: Como 67.2 — Sassuolo 32.8.

Betting Verdict

The prediction model leans strongly toward the hosts avoiding defeat, and both the form lines and head-to-head record in Como support that view. Bookmakers price the home win between roughly 1.45 and 1.56, implying an approximate probability in the 64–69% range, while the draw sits around 4.20–4.90 (about 20–24%) and the away win between 5.50 and 6.23 (around 16–18%). Given Como’s solid start (14 points, +5 goal difference), Sassuolo’s defensive issues (14 conceded) and their poor away record, the “Double chance: Como or draw” angle looks well aligned with both data and market. For those seeking a slightly bolder stance, the combination of Como’s home strength and Sassuolo’s leaky defence makes a straight Como win a logical, if shorter-priced, option.