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Levante vs Atletico Madrid Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

Levante welcome title-chasing Atletico Madrid to Estadio Ciudad de Valencia on 31 October 2026 in La Liga Regular Season - 11, a clash that pits a struggling mid-table side against one of the division’s early pacesetters. With Levante sitting 14th on 10 points and Atletico up in 2nd with 25 points, this fixture has very different stakes for each club.

For Levante, the priority is clear: build on a solid home record and pull further away from the relegation battle. They have been far more dangerous in Valencia than on their travels, scoring heavily at home but leaking goals at the other end. Atletico Madrid, meanwhile, arrive in outstanding form and with genuine ambitions of reclaiming the La Liga crown. Their blend of defensive solidity and efficient attacking has made them one of the most balanced sides in Spain so far.

Historical head-to-head meetings at this stadium have often been tight and occasionally surprising, with Levante capable of troubling Atletico despite the gap in resources. That backdrop, combined with Atletico’s status as strong favourites in both predictive models and betting markets, makes this an intriguing contest for match prediction and betting tips alike.

Levante vs Atletico Madrid Key Stats

  • From the standings, Levante are 14th with 10 points after 10 matches (2 wins, 4 draws, 4 defeats, goal difference -3), while Atletico Madrid are 2nd with 25 points from 10 games (8 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss, goal difference +12).
  • In the most recent La Liga meeting at Estadio Ciudad de Valencia on 31 January 2026, Levante and Atletico Madrid drew 0-0.
  • Season statistics show Levante averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per game across 10 matches, while Atletico Madrid average 2.0 scored and just 0.8 conceded.

Levante vs Atletico Madrid — Tale of the Tape

  • Position: 14 vs 2
  • Points: 10 vs 25
  • Goals For: 16 vs 20
  • Goals Against: 19 vs 8
  • Clean Sheets: Levante 2 vs Atletico Madrid 5 (season statistics)

The standings underline the gulf between the sides. Levante’s 16 goals scored in 10 matches is respectable, but the 19 conceded highlight defensive fragility, particularly given their negative goal difference. Their home record (2 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat, 13 goals scored and 10 conceded in 4 games) suggests they can turn matches into high-scoring battles at Estadio Ciudad de Valencia.

Atletico Madrid, by contrast, have been relentless. With 8 wins from 10 and only 8 goals conceded, they combine one of La Liga’s most potent attacks (20 goals) with one of its tightest defences. They have been strong both home and away, winning 4 of 5 on their travels with 9 goals scored and only 5 conceded. On season-long metrics, Atletico’s 5 clean sheets in 10 matches speak to their control and game management, something Levante will struggle to disrupt over 90 minutes.

Levante vs Atletico Madrid Key Matchups

Brugui vs Álex Baena

Levante’s main attacking threat so far has been Brugui. The midfielder has 5 goals and 1 assist in 9 La Liga appearances, all from the start, logging 741 minutes. He has attempted 17 shots with 8 on target and contributes in multiple phases: 140 passes with 76% accuracy, 13 tackles, and a solid duels profile (79 duels, 33 won). His ability to arrive late in the box and his work rate without the ball will be crucial if Levante are to unsettle Atletico’s back line.

For Atletico Madrid, Álex Baena has been one of the standout performers in Spain this season. In 10 appearances (6 starts, 618 minutes), he has produced 5 goals and 2 assists, matching Brugui’s goal tally while adding more creative output. His 16 shots (10 on target), 329 passes at 81% accuracy, and an impressive 24 key passes underline his role as the creative hub. Baena also contributes defensively with 5 tackles and 9 interceptions, making him a complete midfield presence. Containing him will be a major challenge for Levante’s midfield.

Iván Romero vs Jonathan David

Iván Romero offers Levante a focal point up front. Across 10 appearances (9 starts, 693 minutes), he has scored 3 goals, taking 17 shots with 11 on target — a strong accuracy rate. He also links play well, completing 157 passes at 77% accuracy and creating 8 key passes. His physical work is notable: 105 duels contested with 48 won, plus 16 fouls drawn, suggesting he can occupy Atletico’s centre-backs and win set-pieces in dangerous areas.

Jonathan David gives Atletico another high-quality attacking option. In 5 appearances (4 starts, 295 minutes), he has already scored 3 goals and delivered 2 assists, a superb return at 0.61 goals per game. He has 12 shots with 9 on target, 69 passes at 82% accuracy, and 10 key passes, showing he is both finisher and creator. His movement between the lines and efficiency in front of goal could punish any lapses from Levante’s defence, especially given their tendency to concede in multiple time windows.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

Recent clashes between Levante and Atletico Madrid have often been competitive, with Levante occasionally upsetting the odds despite Atletico’s superior squad. Matches at Estadio Ciudad de Valencia in particular have produced tight scorelines and a mix of draws and narrow wins.

  • 31 January 2026: Levante 0-0 Atletico Madrid (La Liga)
  • 8 November 2025: Atletico Madrid 3-1 Levante (La Liga)
  • 18 January 2023: Levante 0-2 Atletico Madrid (Copa del Rey)
  • 16 February 2022: Atletico Madrid 0-1 Levante (La Liga)
  • 28 October 2021: Levante 2-2 Atletico Madrid (La Liga)

Levante vs Atletico Madrid Prediction

Everything points towards Atletico Madrid controlling large stretches of this match. They come in with outstanding recent form: 10-match league record of 8 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss, and a defensive average of just 0.8 goals conceded per game. Their last five fixtures show 10 goals scored and only 2 conceded, highlighting a side that can both dominate and close games out.

Levante’s recent trajectory is more mixed. Their overall record of 2 wins, 4 draws, 4 defeats with 16 goals scored and 19 conceded indicates a team that can create chances but struggles to keep things tight. At home, their attacking numbers are excellent (3.3 goals scored per game) but they also concede 2.5 per match, which is a dangerous combination against a clinical opponent like Atletico.

Probability-wise, the prediction model gives Levante only a 10% chance of victory, with both the draw and an Atletico win rated at 45% each. That effectively frames this as a “Atletico Madrid or draw” type game, with a high likelihood that the visitors avoid defeat. Given Atletico’s superior form, defensive solidity, and attacking weapons like Baena and Jonathan David, they should have enough to edge a competitive contest, even if Levante’s home scoring record suggests the hosts can get on the board.

Predicted Score: Levante 1-2 Atletico Madrid

Levante Recent Form

Levante’s recent form in the standings is mixed, reflecting inconsistency. Over their 10 league matches they have managed just 2 wins alongside 4 draws and 4 defeats. They have shown resilience at times but also defensive vulnerability, conceding almost two goals per game on average. Their home form is notably better than away, with strong attacking returns but a tendency to be involved in open, high-scoring encounters.

Atletico Madrid Recent Form

Atletico Madrid arrive in outstanding shape. Across their 10 La Liga fixtures they have collected 8 wins, 1 draw and just 1 defeat. They have been efficient at both ends, scoring 2.0 goals per match while conceding only 0.8. Their last five games have been particularly impressive, with a perfect record and a goals balance of 10 scored to 2 conceded, underlining their status as one of the form teams in Spain.

Levante Possible Starting Lineup

Potential key players for Levante (grouped by position) could include: Pablo Cuñat or M. Ryan (GK); Dela, A. Mandi, Manu Sánchez, J. Toljan, Víctor García, Jorge Cabello (Defenders); Brugui, Oriol Rey, Hugo Sotelo, Jon Ander Olasagasti, Reque, T. Fernández, E. Bardeli (Midfielders); Iván Romero, P. Ratkov, Etta Eyong, Yanis Musuayi, Paco Cortés (Attackers).

Levante have used a variety of shapes this season, most frequently a 4-4-2, but also 4-1-4-1, 4-3-3 and 4-2-3-1. That flexibility allows them to pack midfield against stronger opposition like Atletico while still fielding two key attacking outlets in Brugui and Iván Romero. Expect a compact base with quick transitions, relying on Romero’s hold-up play and Brugui’s late runs, but their defensive structure must improve to cope with Atletico’s movement between the lines.

Atletico Madrid Possible Starting Lineup

Atletico Madrid’s potential key players include: Jan Oblak (GK); Alejandro Grimaldo, Cristian Romero, Dávid Hancko, Robin Le Normand, Marcos Llorente, Marc Pubill (Defenders); Koke, Johnny Cardoso, Morten Hjulmand, Pablo Barrios Rivas, Rodrigo Mendoza, Alejandro Baena Rodríguez (Midfielders); Julián Álvarez, Jonathan David, Alexander Sørloth, Ademola Lookman, Lee Kang-In, Arnau Ortiz, Giuliano Simeone Baldini (Attackers).

Atletico have predominantly lined up in a 4-4-2 this season, occasionally shifting to 4-1-4-1 or 4-2-3-1. That base gives them a solid defensive block in front of Oblak while allowing creative players like Baena to operate between the lines. With multiple high-quality forwards, they can rotate between a more direct two-striker setup and a fluid front three, making them difficult to predict and hard to contain for a defence that concedes as frequently as Levante’s.

Levante Team News

No significant absences reported.

Atletico Madrid Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Levante:

  • None reported.

Atletico Madrid:

  • None reported.

Betting Tips: Levante vs Atletico Madrid

Exactly 3 distinct betting ideas based on current odds and performance trends:

  • Result Tip: Atletico Madrid to win. With Atletico given a 45% win probability and Levante only 10%, plus Atletico’s 8 wins from 10 league games, backing the away win aligns with both form and pricing. Match winner odds for Atletico Madrid range from 1.55 to 1.65, implying an approximate probability between 60.6% (1 ÷ 1.65 × 100) and 64.5% (1 ÷ 1.55 × 100), making them clear market favourites.
  • Goals Tip: Over 1.5 total goals. Levante’s matches average 1.6 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per game, while Atletico average 2.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. With Levante’s home games particularly high scoring (13 for and 10 against in 4 matches) and Atletico’s attack in strong form, a game with at least two goals is highly plausible. Look for over 1.5 goals in the main goals market at standard over/under prices.
  • Value Tip: Atletico Madrid to win & both teams to score (BTTS – Yes). Levante have scored in most of their home outings and average 3.3 goals scored at Estadio Ciudad de Valencia, while Atletico’s attack is among the best in the league. Combining an Atletico victory with Levante getting on the scoresheet offers a higher price than the straight away win and taps into Levante’s strong home scoring trend. Exact odds will vary by bookmaker, but this combo typically trades at a significantly bigger price than the simple match winner line.

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.

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