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AC Milan vs Inter Milan: Predictions, Lineups, and Betting Tips for the Derby

Odds provided by bet365 are accurate at publication but may change.

  • First half 1x2: Draw @ 11/8 with bet365
  • Full-time 1x2: AC Milan @ 7/4 with bet365
  • First half Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes @ 11/5 with bet365

Level Scores at Half-Time Expected

Both squads still include several fringe players, so their defensive solidity might not be up to usual standards. Last season, AC Milan and Inter Milan each conceded just 35 goals across 38 Serie A matches, but early rotation could shake things up.

AC Milan rarely held a first-half lead last season, being behind or level in 74% of games at halftime. Inter had the fewest first-half goals in Serie A, with 21% of their matches goalless at the break and no lead in 45% of fixtures. Their preseason results echo this trend, with both teams failing to lead at halftime so far.

In friendlies, Inter were tied at halftime against Karlsruhe and Manchester City, while Milan trailed 2-0 at half-time before rallying in the second half. Two of their last four derbies ended in a halftime draw, making a similar outcome likely this time in Perth.

Milan Might Extend Their Unbeaten Run

Though many expect Inter Milan to edge out their rivals, recent clashes say otherwise. Even after winning last season's Scudetto, AC Milan secured league doubles over Inter with 1-0 wins on both occasions. The Nerazzurri haven't beaten the Rossoneri since April 2024, stretching their winless streak to seven matches.

Ruben Amorim's squad has won five of the last seven derbies, suggesting confidence despite Inter's title defense. Both teams remain unbeaten in pre-season, so the match is unpredictable. On neutral ground and with some key Inter players absent, backing the Rossoneri seems wise.

Expect Goals Early On

Even if halftime ends all square, goals are likely. Inter scored 89 goals in 38 Serie A games last term, showing their firepower, while Milan ranked sixth with 53 goals. Both clubs have notable records for goals before halftime.

AC Milan saw both teams score in the first half in 21% of their league games, ranking third highest, while Inter led with 24%. Across full matches, nearly half (47%) of their league games featured goals from both sides. Inter also frequently scored or conceded within the first 15 minutes, ranking third in Serie A.

Team Form and Match Outlook

The Milan derby will take place midweek in Australia, spotlighting two Italian giants. AC Milan is embarking on a fresh chapter under new coach Ruben Amorim, who replaced Massimiliano Allegri after missing out on Champions League qualification last season. Many regulars haven't returned yet, though stars like Rafael Leao and Luka Modric are present but unlikely to play extended minutes.

Inter Milan, coached by Christian Chivu, aim to defend their domestic double. Their preseason started well with wins over Karlsruhe and a penalty shootout victory versus Manchester City after a 1-1 draw in regulation. They hope to build momentum ahead of a weekend clash with Juventus.

Predicted Score and Goalscorers

  • Score Prediction: AC Milan 3-2 Inter Milan
  • Goalscorers for AC Milan: Francesco Camarda (2), Ruben Loftus-Cheek
  • Goalscorers for Inter Milan: Francesco Esposito, Andy Diouf

Probable Starting Lineups

  • AC Milan: Torriani, Tomori, Gabbia, Pavlovic, Athekame, Ricci, Comotto, Bartesaghi, Loftus-Cheek, Ossola, Camarda
  • Inter Milan: Martinez, Pavard, Bisseck, Bastoni, Diouf, Barella, Stankovic, Mkhitaryan, Dimarco, Esposito, Iddrissou

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