Como vs Venezia: Serie A Clash on November 1, 2026

On the shores of Lake Como, under the autumn light of 1 November 2026, Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia in Como becomes the stage for a clash of opposites: soaring newcomers Como against struggling Venezia. For the hosts, this is about consolidating a stunning push toward the top four in Serie A; for the visitors, rooted to the bottom, every point is a lifeline in an early relegation fight.

Season Context

Como arrive in this 10th round of Serie A in 4th place with 20 points from 9 matches, built on 6 wins, 2 draws and just 1 defeat. They have scored 17 goals and conceded 8, a healthy goal difference of +9 that reflects both attacking fluency and defensive control. With a place in the Champions League league stage currently in their grasp, this match is about maintaining momentum and keeping pressure on the teams above.

Venezia sit at the opposite end of the table in 20th place with only 3 points from 9 games. Their record of 1 win, 0 draws and 8 losses, with 6 goals scored and 19 conceded (goal difference -13), underlines a side in deep trouble. Tagged in the relegation zone, they travel to Como knowing that another defeat would further entrench them in a battle for survival even before winter has arrived.

Form & Momentum

Como’s form line reads WWWDL, a sequence that underpins their rise. Across those 9 league matches, they average just under 2 goals scored per game (17 in 9) and fewer than 1 conceded per outing (8 in 9), numbers that justify describing them as both efficient in attack and well-organised at the back. Even when they have not been at their sparkling best, they have found ways to pick up points, a hallmark of teams that stay near the top.

Venezia’s recent story is far more turbulent. Their form string LLWLL captures a side that briefly flickered into life with a single win but has otherwise been overwhelmed. With only 6 goals from 9 matches (around 0.7 per game) and 19 conceded (about 2.1 per match), they look fragile defensively and short of cutting edge going forward. The combination of heavy defeats and narrow losses has eroded confidence, and this trip to one of the division’s form teams offers little respite.

Head-to-Head Patterns

Recent meetings between these two have often been tight and entertaining, with Como and Venezia trading blows across Serie A and Serie B. On 8 March 2025, they shared the points in a 1-1 draw at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia in Serie A (Regular Season, season 2024). Earlier that same Serie A campaign, on 8 December 2024, Venezia and Como played out a 2-2 thriller at Stadio Pier Luigi Penzo (Regular Season, season 2024), underlining how evenly matched they can be on their day. Going back to Serie B, on 3 March 2024 at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como edged a 2-1 home victory over Venezia (Regular Season, season 2023), a reminder that the lakeside venue has often tilted the balance in favour of the hosts.

Tactical Preview

Como’s statistical profile points to a side comfortable on the front foot, typically lining up in a 4-2-3-1 shape (used in 8 matches) with an alternative 4-1-4-1 when game state demands more control. Their 17 goals in 9 league games, supported by an average of 1.9 goals per match in wider data, highlight a team that can create and finish chances consistently. The presence of T. Douvikas, with 5 goals in 9 appearances, offers a reliable focal point in attack, while the creativity and balance of N. Paz (3 goals and 3 assists, plus 413 completed passes at 88% accuracy) and M. Baturina (3 goals, 1 assist) give Como multiple threats between the lines.

Out of possession, Como’s record of only 8 goals conceded in 9 league matches is backed by a broader average of 0.9 goals against per game, suggesting a compact block in front of the back four and good control of transitions. The two holding midfielders in the 4-2-3-1 are key to screening the defence, and the team’s ability to keep clean sheets at home (2 in the wider sample) reinforces the sense of security at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia.

Venezia, by contrast, lean heavily on a 3-5-2 system (used 8 times), designed to pack midfield and protect a back three. In theory, the extra central defender should stabilise a leaky back line, but the numbers tell another story: 19 goals conceded in 9 league games and an average of 2.1 against across their wider data. Wing-backs are asked to push high, yet the team often struggles to recover shape when possession is lost, leaving space for opponents like Como to exploit in wide areas and half-spaces.

In attack, Venezia’s 6 goals from 9 league matches and a wider average of 0.7 per game show how blunt they have been. Much of their creative burden falls on midfielders such as Kike Pérez, who has produced 17 key passes and 483 completed passes at 85% accuracy, but without consistent finishing ahead of him. The fact they have failed to score in 5 of 9 matches in the broader sample underlines just how thin their margin for error is: they cannot afford defensive lapses because they rarely outscore anyone.

Both teams also have to navigate significant absences. Como will definitely be without Assane Diao, M. Kean and J. Rodriguez, all listed as missing this fixture, while T. Chalobah and M. Liberali are doubtful. Venezia travel without A. Adorante, B. Franjic and M. Sverko, with key squad members like T. Correia, T. J. Helgason and P. Mazzocchi rated questionable. Depth and flexibility therefore favour Como, whose core attacking structure remains intact.

Statistical Snapshot

• Competition: Serie A, season 2026 — 1 November 2026.
• Venue: Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como.
• Prediction: Win or draw — Double chance : Como or draw.
• Win Probabilities: Home 45% / Draw 45% / Away 10%.
• Model: Como 65.8 — Venezia 34.2.

Betting Verdict

The prediction model leans firmly toward Como avoiding defeat, with a double-chance recommendation on the hosts or the draw, and a comparison index that favours them 65.8 to 34.2. The raw form lines back this up: Como’s WWWDL and +9 goal difference contrast sharply with Venezia’s LLWLL and -13, while head-to-head meetings at this ground have recently tilted toward the home side or ended level (1-1 and 2-1 in Como’s favour in March 2025 and March 2024).

Bookmakers price a Como win very short, with home odds clustered roughly between 1.25 and 1.34, implying an approximate probability band of around 75–80%. Draw prices sit roughly between 5.13 and 6.33 (about 16–19% implied), while away victory is pushed out to around 6.86–9.50 (roughly 10–15%). Given Venezia’s scoring struggles and porous defence, backing Como in some form is justified, but the market already reflects their superiority. The most data-aligned angle is to follow the model’s safer path: Como or draw in multi-leg bets, with the expectation of a controlled home performance rather than a high-risk upset.