Hapoel Beer Sheva vs FK Crvena Zvezda Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips
Hapoel Beer Sheva host FK Crvena Zvezda at Toto Turner Stadium on 4 August 2026 in the 3rd Qualifying Round of the UEFA Champions League. With just two qualifying ties played apiece so far, both sides are still shaping their European campaigns, but the early numbers suggest a clear stylistic clash between a cautious Israeli outfit and a free-scoring Serbian champion.
Beer Sheva have split their opening two Champions League qualifiers, winning at home and losing away, and will again look to make Toto Turner Stadium a fortress. FK Crvena Zvezda, by contrast, have been flawless: two wins from two, nine goals scored and none conceded underline why they arrive as favourites for this first leg.
With Champions League group-stage dreams on the line, this tie sets up as attack versus resilience. The market strongly leans towards an away win, but the prediction data still leaves room for a draw, hinting at a potentially tighter contest than Crvena Zvezda’s early scorelines suggest.
Hapoel Beer Sheva vs FK Crvena Zvezda Key Stats
- Across 2 Champions League qualifiers, Hapoel Beer Sheva have scored 3 goals and conceded 2, with a 1–0 home record and a 1–2 away defeat.
- There are no previous head-to-head meetings recorded between Hapoel Beer Sheva and FK Crvena Zvezda in this competition data set.
- In their 2 Champions League qualifiers, FK Crvena Zvezda have scored 9 goals (4.5 per game on average) and have yet to concede, keeping 2 clean sheets.
Hapoel Beer Sheva vs FK Crvena Zvezda — Tale of the Tape
- Position: Not available vs Not available
- Points: Not available vs Not available
- Goals For: 3 vs 9
- Goals Against: 2 vs 0
- Clean Sheets: Hapoel Beer Sheva 1; FK Crvena Zvezda 2 (Champions League qualifiers)
Standings data for this qualifying round is not provided, but the early qualifiers tell a clear story. Beer Sheva have been competitive, especially at home, scoring 2 goals without reply in their solitary match at Toto Turner Stadium. Over 2 games, they average 1.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded, suggesting a balanced but not dominant side.
Crvena Zvezda, however, look a level above in these qualifiers. They have won both home and away, with a 5–0 victory at home and a 4–0 win on their travels, giving them an imposing goal difference of +9 from just 2 matches. With an average of 4.5 goals scored per game and a perfect defensive record so far, they come into this tie as the form team and clear favourites to progress.
Hapoel Beer Sheva vs FK Crvena Zvezda Key Matchups
Hapoel Beer Sheva attack vs FK Crvena Zvezda defence
Beer Sheva’s attack has been quietly efficient in qualifying: 3 goals in 2 games, with a strong home output of 2 goals in their only match at Toto Turner Stadium. They have not failed to score yet, and their goal distribution shows they are particularly dangerous after the break, with all their recorded goals coming between the 46th and 90th minutes.
They now face a Crvena Zvezda defence that has been flawless so far. Across 2 qualifiers, the Serbian side have not conceded a single goal, either home or away. Their defensive average stands at 0.0 goals against per game, underlining a back line that has yet to be seriously breached. How Beer Sheva’s late-game threat matches up against this watertight defence will be central to the outcome.
Hapoel Beer Sheva back line vs FK Crvena Zvezda forward line
Defensively, Beer Sheva have been solid at home, keeping a clean sheet in their only match at Toto Turner Stadium. Overall, they have conceded 2 goals in 2 games, both away from home, for an average of 1.0 per match. Their defensive issues have tended to appear after the hour mark, with a significant share of goals conceded in the final half-hour.
Crvena Zvezda’s attack is currently one of the most explosive in qualifying. With 9 goals in 2 games, they have demonstrated scoring power across both halves and both venues. Their biggest wins, 5–0 at home and 4–0 away, highlight their ability to pile on goals once in control. With an attacking index clearly superior in the comparison data, this matchup heavily favours the visitors, especially if Beer Sheva are forced to chase the game.
Head-to-Head: Last Meetings
There are no recorded recent meetings between Hapoel Beer Sheva and FK Crvena Zvezda in the available head-to-head data. This first leg will therefore set the tone for a new European rivalry between the Israeli and Serbian clubs.
Hapoel Beer Sheva vs FK Crvena Zvezda Prediction
All available indicators point towards FK Crvena Zvezda having the upper hand. They arrive with perfect “WW” form in Champions League qualifiers, 9 goals scored and none conceded, and a strong away performance already in the bank. Beer Sheva, by contrast, have shown resilience and home strength but also vulnerability away, splitting their first two games with a “LW” pattern.
The prediction model assigns 50% win probability to Crvena Zvezda and 50% to the draw, with effectively 0% given to a home win. That underlines both the visitors’ status as favourites and the possibility that Beer Sheva, buoyed by home support and a decent defensive record at Toto Turner Stadium, can grind out a stalemate if they keep things tight.
Given the goals thresholds in the prediction data are not usable as an exact scoreline, a conservative forecast is appropriate. Crvena Zvezda’s firepower suggests they should find a way through at least once, but Beer Sheva’s home solidity and the relatively high draw probability argue against a rout.
Predicted Score: Hapoel Beer Sheva 0-1 FK Crvena Zvezda
Hapoel Beer Sheva Recent Form
In Champions League qualifiers, Hapoel Beer Sheva have alternated results, with one win and one loss from 2 matches. They have been strong at home, winning 2–0, but fell 2–1 away. Overall, they have scored 3 and conceded 2, reflecting a competitive but inconsistent start to their European campaign.
FK Crvena Zvezda Recent Form
FK Crvena Zvezda’s recent form in Champions League qualifiers has been outstanding. They have won both of their opening matches, with a 5–0 home victory and a 4–0 away win. That perfect “WW” run, combined with 9 goals scored and none conceded, marks them as one of the most in-form sides at this stage of qualifying.
Hapoel Beer Sheva Possible Starting Lineup
With no confirmed lineups available, a precise XI cannot be named, but key squad options for Hapoel Beer Sheva include:
Goalkeepers: N. Eliasi, I. Hemi, O. Marciano, M. Wolff
Defenders: M. Baltaxa, O. Davidzada, D. T. Diop, M. Vítor, G. Mizrahi, I. Rotman
Midfielders: S. Elias, I. Azut, K. Kangwa, R. Levy, Lucas Ventura, E. Peretz, Y. Stoyanov, N. Yehoshua
Forwards/Attackers: M. Kna'an, M. Abu Rumi, Z. Ahmed, E. Almog, D. Biton, S. Dahan, J. East, S. Farhud, A. Ganah, João Victor, Y. Koren, A. Ohana, M. Simantov, I. Zlatanović
Beer Sheva have typically lined up in a 4-3-3 across their 2 Champions League qualifiers, which suits their balanced profile of solid home defending and late-game attacking threat. Expect a compact back four shielded by a hardworking midfield, with pace and movement in the front three to exploit transitions, especially in the second half.
FK Crvena Zvezda Possible Starting Lineup
Again, no confirmed XI is available, but FK Crvena Zvezda’s key options are:
Goalkeepers: I. Guteša, Matheus, S. Radanovic
Defenders: A. Avdić, S. Eraković, Rodrigão, Seol Young-Woo, M. Strika, F. Tebo Uchenna, N. Tiknizyan, M. Veljković, S. Gudelj, N. Stanković
Midfielders: M. Abu Fani, M. Bajo, M. Cham, T. Elšnik, Matej Gastarov, Tomás Händel, M. Ivanić, A. Katai, V. Kostov, R. Krunić, D. Saric
Forwards/Attackers: M. Arnautović, K. Balov, Bruno Duarte, O. Bukari, U. Djordjevic, J. Enem, L. Loizou, V. Lučić, D. Owusu, V. Subotic, L. Zarić
Crvena Zvezda have used a 4-3-2-1 shape in their 2 qualifiers, a system that has allowed them to dominate central areas while unleashing significant attacking numbers. With 9 goals scored and 2 clean sheets, this structure is working well, and they are unlikely to deviate from it. Expect an aggressive pressing game, quick ball progression through midfield, and multiple runners from deep to stretch Beer Sheva’s back line.
Hapoel Beer Sheva Team News
No significant absences reported.
FK Crvena Zvezda Team News
No significant absences reported.
Injuries & Suspensions
Hapoel Beer Sheva:
- None reported.
FK Crvena Zvezda:
- None reported.
Betting Tips: Hapoel Beer Sheva vs FK Crvena Zvezda
Below are three data-backed betting angles for this Champions League qualifier:
- Result Tip: Back FK Crvena Zvezda to win. Crvena Zvezda have 2 wins from 2 qualifiers, 9 goals scored and none conceded, and are rated with a 50% win probability against 0% for Beer Sheva and 50% for the draw. The market reflects this edge: away odds range from 1.80 to 1.88, implying an approximate winning probability between 53.2% (1 ÷ 1.88 × 100) and 55.6% (1 ÷ 1.80 × 100). That aligns with their superior form and attacking numbers.
- Goals Tip: Under 3.5 total goals. Beer Sheva’s matches have averaged 2.5 goals (3 scored, 2 conceded over 2 games), while Crvena Zvezda’s have been high-scoring at 4.5 on average. However, with this being a first leg away for the Serbians and Beer Sheva generally tight at home (2–0 win, 1 clean sheet), a more controlled encounter is likely. The predictions data does not point to an extreme scoreline, and a 0-1 or 0-2 type result would land under 3.5.
- Value Tip: Draw as a speculative value play. The prediction model gives the draw a 50% probability, equal to Crvena Zvezda’s win chance and far above Beer Sheva’s 0%. Yet bookmakers price the draw between 3.40 and 3.85, implying only around 25.9% to 29.4% chance (1 ÷ 3.85 × 100 to 1 ÷ 3.40 × 100). That discrepancy suggests some value on the stalemate, especially if Beer Sheva manage to turn this into a cagey, low-scoring first leg.
Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.
