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Arsenal vs Hull City Prediction: Preview and Betting Tips

Top-of-the-table Arsenal welcome Hull City to Emirates Stadium on 7 November 2026 in Premier League Regular Season – 10. With Arsenal flying in the title race and Hull sitting in mid-table, this looks on paper like a mismatch, but the visitors have been stubborn enough this season to suggest it may not be a procession.

Arsenal come into the weekend 1st in the Premier League with 24 points from 9 matches. Mikel Arteta’s side have won 8 and lost just once, scoring 14 and conceding only 5. Their home record is perfect so far: 4 wins from 4 at Emirates, 9 goals scored and only 2 conceded, underlining why they are overwhelming favourites here.

Hull City arrive in North London 11th in the table with 11 points from 9 games. They have been hard to beat – just 2 defeats – but 5 draws show a team that often lacks the cutting edge to turn parity into victories. Facing the league leaders away, they will likely prioritise defensive organisation and look to frustrate, hoping to nick something on the counter or from set pieces.

Arsenal vs Hull City Key Stats

  • Arsenal are 1st with 24 points from 9 matches, winning 8 and losing just 1, with a goal difference of +9 (14 scored, 5 conceded).
  • In the last Premier League meeting at Emirates Stadium on 11 February 2017, Arsenal beat Hull City 2-0.
  • Across this Premier League campaign, Arsenal have kept 6 clean sheets in 9 matches, while Hull City have 3 clean sheets.

Arsenal vs Hull City — Tale of the Tape

  • Position: 1 vs 11
  • Points: 24 vs 11
  • Goals For: 14 vs 11
  • Goals Against: 5 vs 10
  • Clean Sheets: Arsenal 6 vs Hull City 3 (current Premier League statistics)

The standings paint a clear picture. Arsenal, with 24 points from 9 games, are setting the pace at the top of the Premier League. Their overall balance – 14 goals scored and only 5 conceded – reflects a side that is both efficient in attack and extremely solid defensively. At home, they have been almost flawless: 4 wins from 4, 9 goals scored and just 2 conceded.

Hull City, 11th with 11 points, are firmly in mid-table but closer to the pack below than to the European places. They have lost only 2 of 9 league games, yet just 2 wins underline why they are not higher. Their defensive record (10 conceded) is respectable, but with only 11 goals scored, they average 1.2 per game compared to Arsenal’s 1.6. Away from home Hull have 1 win, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 4 and conceding 5 – competitive, but not the profile of a side expected to trouble the leaders consistently over 90 minutes.

Arsenal vs Hull City Key Matchups

K. Havertz vs M. Belloumi

Kai Havertz has been one of Arsenal’s main goal threats this season. The German attacker has 3 goals in 9 Premier League appearances, starting 8 of those and playing 673 minutes. He has taken 14 shots with 8 on target, a solid accuracy rate, and contributed 171 passes at 80% accuracy with 5 key passes. While he has yet to register an assist, his movement between the lines and aerial presence make him a constant problem for defences that sit deep, like Hull are likely to do.

For Hull City, Mohamed Elbachir Belloumi is both a top scorer and creator. Listed among the league’s leading scorers and assisters for Hull, he has 3 goals and 2 assists in 9 appearances, with 18 shots (6 on target) and 171 passes, including 8 key passes. His 31 dribble attempts with 21 successful highlight his ability to carry the ball and break lines. If Hull are to hurt Arsenal in transition, Belloumi’s ball-carrying and end product will be crucial against a usually well-structured Gunners back line.

D. Rice vs M. Crooks

Declan Rice has been the heartbeat of Arsenal’s midfield. In 9 league appearances (all starts), he has provided 5 assists, the highest assist tally in this Premier League data set. Rice has completed 618 passes with an outstanding 91% accuracy and 17 key passes, showing his dual role as both metronome and playmaker from deeper areas. Defensively he adds 13 tackles, 5 blocks and 9 interceptions, underlining why Arsenal control matches so effectively.

For Hull, Matt Crooks offers a contrasting midfield profile. In 6 appearances (5 starts), he has no goals or assists but brings physicality and bite: 12 tackles, 4 blocks and 12 fouls committed in 382 minutes. His 5 yellow cards show how aggressive he is in duels. The battle between Rice’s composure and Crooks’ physical approach could shape the midfield dynamic; if Crooks cannot disrupt Arsenal’s rhythm, the home side’s technical quality should dominate.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

Arsenal and Hull City have a rich recent history across Premier League and FA Cup, with the Gunners generally enjoying the upper hand. Here are the most recent clashes based on recorded data.

  • 11 February 2017: Arsenal 2-0 Hull City (Premier League)
  • 17 September 2016: Hull City 1-4 Arsenal (Premier League)
  • 8 March 2016: Hull City 0-4 Arsenal (FA Cup)
  • 20 February 2016: Arsenal 0-0 Hull City (FA Cup)
  • 4 May 2015: Hull City 1-3 Arsenal (Premier League)

Arsenal vs Hull City Prediction

All indicators point strongly towards an Arsenal victory, but the probability data suggests there is still room for a stubborn Hull performance. The prediction model gives Arsenal a 45% chance of winning, with a surprisingly high 45% probability for the draw and just 10% for a Hull victory. That reflects both Arsenal’s superiority and the visitors’ tendency to draw games.

Arsenal’s recent form is excellent, with 8 wins from 9 league fixtures and 6 clean sheets, while their last five-game form index sits at 80, compared to Hull’s 20. The comparison indices are heavily in Arsenal’s favour across form, defence and overall strength, and the Poisson index also leans decisively towards the Gunners. Historically, Arsenal have dominated this matchup, regularly scoring multiple goals at home to Hull.

However, Hull’s defensive structure in a 5-4-1 and their run of draws hint that they can make this competitive for long spells. Arsenal’s attacking averages (1.6 goals scored per game, 0.6 conceded) against Hull’s 1.2 for and 1.1 against suggest a home win with a modest margin rather than a rout.

Predicted Score: Arsenal 2-0 Hull City

Arsenal Recent Form

Arsenal’s recent Premier League form is outstanding: 8 wins and just 1 defeat from 9 matches, including a perfect home record. Their form string of WWWWL indicates a long winning streak only recently interrupted by a single loss, followed again by strong performances in the wider statistics set. Defensively they concede just 0.6 goals per game, and with 6 clean sheets in 9, they have been extremely hard to break down.

Hull City Recent Form

Hull City’s recent form is mixed and leans towards draws. Their league form sequence of WWDDLDLDD shows only 2 wins but 5 draws in 9 matches, with 2 defeats. They have been particularly resilient at home (unbeaten), but away they have 1 win, 1 draw and 2 losses. Conceding 1.1 goals per game and scoring 1.2, Hull tend to stay in matches but rarely dominate them.

Arsenal Possible Starting Lineup

Key available players for Arsenal include: goalkeepers David Raya and Kepa; defenders W. Saliba, Gabriel Magalhães, B. White, J. Timber, P. Hincapié and R. Calafiori; midfielders D. Rice, M. Ødegaard, Bruno Guimarães, Mikel Merino, Martín Zubimendi, E. Eze and N. Madueke; forwards K. Havertz, B. Saka and V. Gyökeres.

Arsenal’s most-used formation in current Premier League statistics is a 4-2-3-1 across 9 matches. That points towards a back four anchored by Saliba and Gabriel, with Rice likely shielding the defence and Ødegaard operating as the advanced playmaker. Out wide, Saka and possibly Madueke or Eze can stretch Hull’s five-man defence, while Havertz or Gyökeres lead the line. With no recorded key absences, Arteta should be able to field a near full-strength XI, enabling an aggressive, possession-dominant approach.

Hull City Possible Starting Lineup

Hull City’s squad options feature goalkeepers J. Butland and K. Tzolakis; defenders S. Ajayi, L. Coyle, J. Egan, R. Giles, B. Norton-Cuffy and M. Targett; midfielders M. Crooks, H. Morita, A. Ömür, L. Gourna-Douath and T. Iroegbunam; and attackers M. Belloumi, J. Gelhardt, O. McBurnie and S. Thomas.

The Tigers have consistently lined up in a 5-4-1 over 9 league games, underlining a defensive-first strategy. Expect three centre-backs in front of Butland, with wing-backs like Giles or Norton-Cuffy providing width. In midfield, Morita and Crooks can offer work rate and physicality, while creative responsibility and goal threat will likely fall on Belloumi, supported by a lone centre-forward such as McBurnie or Gelhardt. Hull’s shape is built to absorb pressure and counter, but maintaining concentration for 90 minutes at Emirates will be a major test.

Arsenal Team News

No significant absences reported.

Hull City Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Arsenal:

  • None reported.

Hull City:

  • None reported.

Betting Tips: Arsenal vs Hull City

Below are three betting angles based on current stats, probabilities and market prices.

  • Result Tip: Back Arsenal to win. The prediction model gives Arsenal a 45% win chance versus just 10% for Hull, with Arsenal top of the table and perfect at home. The market is even more bullish: home odds range from 1.13 to 1.17 across bookmakers, implying an approximate probability between 85.5% (1 ÷ 1.17 × 100) and 88.5% (1 ÷ 1.13 × 100). That confirms Arsenal as a heavy favourite.
  • Goals Tip: Under 3.5 total goals. Arsenal’s matches average 2.2 goals (1.6 for, 0.6 against), while Hull’s average 2.3 (1.2 for, 1.1 against). Both sides have seen relatively few high-scoring games, and Hull’s 5-4-1 setup suggests a cautious approach. With Arsenal strong defensively and Hull not prolific, a controlled home win in a low-to-medium scoring contest looks likely.
  • Value Tip: Arsenal win to nil. Arsenal have 6 clean sheets in 9 league games, and Hull have failed to score in 2 of 9. With Rice anchoring midfield and a settled back four, shutting down a Hull attack heavily reliant on Belloumi seems realistic. While exact odds for this market are not listed here, the combination of Arsenal’s clean-sheet record and Hull’s modest attacking numbers suggests this could offer better value than the straight home win at 1.13–1.17.

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.

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