Inter host Bodo/Glimt in Milan on 24 February 2026 in a UEFA Champions League Round of 32 second leg that has turned intriguingly against the Italians. Bodo/Glimt won the first meeting 3–1 at Aspmyra Stadion, putting real pressure on Inter to respond at home. Despite that, bookmakers still see Inter as overwhelming favourites, pricing the home win as low as 1.22–1.30, while the draw ranges around 5.70–7.50 and the away win up to 11.00.
However, the official prediction data points firmly in the opposite direction: the model gives Inter only a 10% chance, with 45% for the draw and 45% for Bodo/Glimt, and explicitly advises “Double chance: draw or Bodo/Glimt”. That stance is backed by form and underlying numbers. Inter’s last-five form is poor (20%), conceding 9 goals (1.8 per game) and scoring just 1 per match in that span. Their Champions League campaign shows 5 wins and 3 losses with no draws over 8 matches, but their recent trend is negative (overall form "WWWWLLLWL").
By contrast, Bodo/Glimt’s last-five form is 67%, with 12 goals scored (2.4 per game) and 1.6 conceded. Over the wider sample they average 2.1 goals per game in the competition, significantly higher than Inter’s 1.8, and their attack dominates the comparison metrics (71% attacking rating vs Inter’s 29%). The Norwegian side also won the only head-to-head 3–1, underlining a tactical and psychological edge.
Squad news further tilts the balance towards the underdog. Inter are without Hakan Calhanoglu and Lautaro Martinez, both listed as “Missing Fixture”. Losing a primary creator and their main striker is a major blow for a team already struggling in attack. Bodo/Glimt, meanwhile, have their key forwards available: Jens Petter Hauge and Kasper Høgh both sit on 5 goals and 3 assists in this Champions League campaign and are in excellent form.
Official Prediction
Officially, the prediction is clear: Bodo/Glimt to avoid defeat (double chance X2). Given their superior recent form, attacking output, and Inter’s absentees, a 1–1 or 2–2 draw fits the goal averages (Inter 1.5 scored/1.3 conceded at home; Bodo/Glimt 1.6 scored/2.0 conceded away). With bookmakers still heavily shading Inter, the value lies on the prediction side: backing Bodo/Glimt or draw via double chance, or more aggressively the draw at around 7.00–7.50, offers significant upside relative to the model’s 90% combined probability for X2.
