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Premier League 2026/27: Who Will Be the Next Manager Sacked?

Who Is Most Likely to Lose Their Job First in the Premier League 2026/27?

As the Premier League prepares for the 2026/27 season, the odds on which manager will be the next to leave reflect the pressures and expectations surrounding each club. With nine teams entering the campaign under new leadership and Eddie Howe stepping down from Newcastle early, the race to be the first manager sacked has already begun to take shape.

"Promoted managers dominate the market, but the next Premier League manager to be dismissed might not be the obvious candidate..."

The relegation odds give valuable insight here since managers of newly promoted teams or those expected to struggle often have less tolerance for poor starts. Below is a breakdown of the main contenders to be the first to lose their role in the upcoming season, plus one longer shot to watch.

Early Odds for the Next Premier League Manager to Be Sacked

  • Sergej Jakirovic - 1/1 (2.00 decimal), 50.0% implied probability
  • Frank Lampard - 3/1 (4.00 decimal), 25.0%
  • Gary O’Neil - 4/1 (5.00 decimal), 20.0%
  • Roberto De Zerbi - 8/1 (9.00 decimal), 11.1%

These theoretical odds come from Oddspedia; live bookmaker markets have yet to open.

Recent Changes Among Premier League Managers

  • Eddie Howe left Newcastle United in July 2026 after nearly five years.
  • Oliver Glasner took over at Nottingham Forest in July 2026 following Vitor Pereira's departure.
  • Enzo Maresca was confirmed as Manchester City's new head coach, succeeding Pep Guardiola.

Top Candidates to Face Early Pressure

Sergej Jakirovic leads these odds after securing promotion with Hull City. While he’s now a club hero, Hull is one of the favourites to be relegated and faces a tough challenge in the top flight. The club’s tight budget limits wiggle room for injuries or setbacks, so Jakirovic may find patience wears thin if results falter early.

Frank Lampard sits second despite a contract running until 2029, thanks to Coventry City's promotion. Though he has a degree of security, Coventry’s limited resources mean they’ll fight to avoid the drop. A rough start could test Lampard’s standing, especially if the team struggles to compete.

Gary O’Neil takes charge at Ipswich Town as they return to the Premier League. Ipswich’s rise has been notable, but the jump in quality will demand quick adaptation. Unlike some peers, O’Neil lacks long-term goodwill built over years, so early poor form might put him under pressure.

Roberto De Zerbi at Tottenham is expected to enjoy some breathing space during his first full season in charge. However, Tottenham's significant summer spending means expectations are higher than usual. If performances don't translate into points, patience could run out sooner than anticipated.

A Longshot to Watch

Keith Andrews of Brentford stands out at 16/1. Brentford's recent stability shields Andrews somewhat, but rising expectations after a strong debut season mean that any drop in form may quickly attract attention. His odds could shorten sharply if Brentford stumbles early.

Full List of Premier League Next Manager Sacked Odds 2026/27

  • Sergej Jakirovic: 1/1, Decimal 2.00, 50.0%
  • Frank Lampard: 3/1, Decimal 4.00, 25.0%
  • Gary O’Neil: 4/1, Decimal 5.00, 20.0%
  • Roberto De Zerbi: 8/1, Decimal 9.00, 11.1%
  • Oliver Glasner: 12/1, Decimal 13.00, 7.7%
  • Daniel Farke: 14/1, Decimal 15.00, 6.7%
  • Keith Andrews: 16/1, Decimal 17.00, 5.9%
  • Regis Le Bris: 20/1, Decimal 21.00, 4.8%
  • Michael Carrick: 25/1, Decimal 26.00, 3.8%
  • Fabian Hurzeler: 33/1, Decimal 34.00, 2.9%
  • Marco Silva: 40/1, Decimal 41.00, 2.4%
  • Enzo Maresca: 50/1, Decimal 51.00, 2.0%
  • Unai Emery: 66/1, Decimal 67.00, 1.5%
  • David Moyes: 80/1, Decimal 81.00, 1.2%
  • Mikel Arteta: 200/1, Decimal 201.00, 0.5%

Recent Manager Departures in the Premier League

  • Eddie Howe - Newcastle United, July 2026
  • Vitor Pereira - Nottingham Forest, July 2026
  • Arne Slot - Liverpool, June 2026
  • Pep Guardiola - Manchester City, May 2026
  • Scott Parker - Burnley, April 2026
  • Liam Rosenior - Chelsea, April 2026
  • Igor Tudor - Tottenham, March 2026
  • Sean Dyche - Nottingham Forest, February 2026
  • Thomas Frank - Tottenham, February 2026
  • Ruben Amorim - Manchester United, January 2026

Strategies for Betting on the Next Premier League Manager to Be Sacked

  • Focus on Newly Promoted Managers: Clubs promoted to the Premier League usually face survival challenges, making their managers vulnerable if early results disappoint.
  • Watch High-Spending Clubs With Underperformance: Teams investing heavily expect returns, so managers failing to deliver results quickly can find themselves at risk.
  • Consider Fixture Difficulty and Team Form: Poor results against direct rivals or a tough schedule can increase pressure on managers.
  • Follow Board and Fan Sentiment: The mood among supporters and leadership can accelerate managerial changes, especially if dissatisfaction grows.
  • Look at Contract Length and Experience: Short-term contracts or inexperienced hires might be less secure when facing difficulties.

Using tools like Oddspedia’s Bet Calculator can help assess potential winnings before placing bets. Comparing offers across the best betting sites also ensures maximum value.

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