Premier League Golden Boot Odds 2026/27: Haaland and His Challengers

Early Favorites for the Premier League Top Scorer 2026/27

The new Premier League season is about to kick off, and the early odds suggest another gripping battle for the Golden Boot. Erling Haaland is the man everyone expects to beat, but several others could challenge him.

Here’s a look at the top contenders based on the latest odds from bet365 as of August 5, 2026:

Player: Erling Haaland (Manchester City)
Odds: 4/6
Decimal: 1.67
Implied Probability: 60%

Player: Alexander Isak (Liverpool)
Odds: 9/1
Decimal: 10.00
Implied Probability: 10%

Player: Igor Thiago (Brentford)
Odds: 12/1
Decimal: 13.00
Implied Probability: 7.69%

Player: Ollie Watkins (Aston Villa)
Odds: 16/1
Decimal: 17.00
Implied Probability: 5.88%

Player: Joao Pedro (Chelsea)
Odds: 16/1
Decimal: 17.00
Implied Probability: 5.88%

Updates on the Top Scorer Odds

August 5, 2026: The odds remain largely steady with Haaland as the firm favorite. Slight shifts have occurred for Isak, Thiago, and Watkins, while Pedro’s odds hold at 16/1.
July 23, 2026: Haaland opened as a favorite at 8/11, with Isak second at 8/1, followed by Thiago, Watkins, and Pedro rounding out the top five.

Top Contenders Breakdown

Manchester City: Erling Haaland

Haaland is the striker to beat again after netting 27 goals last season and securing his third Golden Boot in four years. Manchester City's attack remains potent, and Haaland’s role as their primary goal scorer makes him a strong candidate to lead again. His odds suggest a 60% chance, leaving little margin for setbacks.

Liverpool: Alexander Isak

Isak has impressed as one of the Premier League’s sharpest finishers, thriving within Liverpool’s dynamic offense. Injuries are a concern since he missed significant time last season. If he can stay fit, he poses a real threat, though his chances hinge heavily on consistent availability.

Brentford: Igor Thiago

Thiago came close last season with 22 goals, finishing just behind Haaland. His physical style and knack for scoring inside the box make him Brentford’s key attacking figure. Maintaining that level will be tough, especially as opponents adjust and Brentford might create fewer chances than bigger clubs.

Aston Villa: Ollie Watkins

Watkins scored 16 league goals last season and ended strongly. He plays a central role in Villa’s offense under Unai Emery and regularly contributes goals and assists. However, hitting the 25-goal mark needed to challenge for the Golden Boot would be a career-best effort.

Chelsea: Joao Pedro

Joao Pedro scored 15 league goals last term, ending with 20 across all competitions. His skill, versatility, and penalty duties give him several paths to increase his tally. Chelsea’s variety upfront could mean rotation, so his success depends on becoming the clear first-choice striker.

Our Prediction: Viktor Gyokeres at 20/1

Erling Haaland remains the most likely winner, but the 4/6 odds are quite short. We find better value at 20/1 with Viktor Gyokeres from Arsenal. After scoring 14 goals in his debut season while adjusting to the Premier League and Arsenal’s system, a full campaign could see him improve significantly. Competition for playing time with Kai Havertz is a factor, yet the price reflects this uncertainty and offers a tempting long shot.

Top 20 Premier League Golden Boot Odds (As of August 5, 2026)

Erling Haaland (Manchester City): 4/6 (1.67) - 60.00%
Alexander Isak (Liverpool): 9/1 (10.00) - 10.00%
Igor Thiago (Brentford): 12/1 (13.00) - 7.69%
Ollie Watkins (Aston Villa): 16/1 (17.00) - 5.88%
Joao Pedro (Chelsea): 16/1 (17.00) - 5.88%
Benjamin Sesko (Manchester United): 20/1 (21.00) - 4.76%
Viktor Gyokeres (Arsenal): 20/1 (21.00) - 4.76%
Antoine Semenyo (Manchester City): 25/1 (26.00) - 3.85%
Dominic Solanke (Tottenham Hotspur): 33/1 (34.00) - 2.94%
Cole Palmer (Chelsea): 33/1 (34.00) - 2.94%
Kai Havertz (Arsenal): 40/1 (41.00) - 2.44%
Yoane Wissa (Newcastle United): 40/1 (41.00) - 2.44%
Bryan Mbeumo (Manchester United): 50/1 (51.00) - 1.96%
Cody Gakpo (Liverpool): 50/1 (51.00) - 1.96%
Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds United): 50/1 (51.00) - 1.96%
Jean-Philippe Mateta (Crystal Palace): 50/1 (51.00) - 1.96%
Morgan Gibbs-White (Nottingham Forest): 50/1 (51.00) - 1.96%
Morgan Rogers (Chelsea): 50/1 (51.00) - 1.96%
Nick Woltemade (Newcastle United): 50/1 (51.00) - 1.96%
All Others: 66/1+ (67.00+) - 1.49% or less

Golden Boot Winners Over the Past Ten Seasons

2025/26: Erling Haaland - 27 goals
2024/25: Mohamed Salah - 29 goals
2023/24: Erling Haaland - 27 goals
2022/23: Erling Haaland - 36 goals
2021/22: Son Heung-min & Mohamed Salah - 23 goals each
2020/21: Harry Kane - 23 goals
2019/20: Jamie Vardy - 23 goals
2018/19: Mohamed Salah, Sadio Mane & Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang - 22 goals each
2017/18: Mohamed Salah - 32 goals
2016/17: Harry Kane - 29 goals

Tips for Betting on the Premier League Top Scorer

Study player and team form: A player’s reputation doesn’t guarantee goals if their team struggles to create chances. Injury history matters too. Penalty and set-piece takers often score more, so check who handles those duties.
Compare odds from multiple bookmakers: Prices vary, especially beyond the favorites. Shopping around can boost your potential payout.
Look out for bookmaker promotions: Offers like enhanced odds and free bets can add value but always read the fine print.
Track mid-season changes: Injuries, tactical shifts, or fixture congestion may alter a player's prospects as the season goes on.
Spot value in outsiders: New signings or rising stars sometimes start with long odds but can surprise if they settle quickly.

FAQs About the Premier League Golden Boot

Who leads the Golden Boot race this season? Erling Haaland is the clear favorite at 4/6 odds.
Where can I find the best top scorer odds? Platforms like Oddspedia gather odds from various bookmakers to show the best prices.
Do betting sites offer bonuses for Premier League bets? Yes, many provide promotions including free bets and enhanced odds, but check terms before using them.
Where to get Premier League predictions? Expert tips and accumulator suggestions are available weekly with detailed analysis.
What other Premier League markets exist? Besides the Golden Boot, you can bet on title winners and managerial sackings.

Premier League Golden Boot Race: Can Anyone Dethrone Haaland?