Torino vs AS Roma Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

Torino welcome early pacesetters AS Roma to Stadio Olimpico di Torino on 14 September 2026 in a Serie A clash that already feels significant for both ends of the table. The hosts are trying to stabilise after an inconsistent start, while Roma arrive in Turin perfect from three games and sitting top of the standings.

Torino have taken 3 points from their opening 3 fixtures, scoring 4 and conceding 5. That leaves them 13th, already looking up at the European places and aware that home form must improve quickly. AS Roma, by contrast, have been ruthless: 3 wins from 3, 10 goals scored and just 1 conceded, a statement start for a side targeting the Scudetto and Champions League qualification.

With AS Roma’s attack led by Donyell Malen and supplied by Paulo Dybala, this fixture doubles as a test of Torino’s defensive structure and a key reference point for Serie A betting predictions this weekend. Recent head-to-head meetings in both Serie A and Coppa Italia add extra intrigue, with Torino having sprung surprises in Rome even as Roma have dominated in Turin.

Torino vs AS Roma Key Stats

• Torino are 13th with 3 points from 3 matches (4 scored, 5 conceded), while AS Roma are 1st with 9 points from 3 (10 scored, 1 conceded).
• In the last five competitive meetings listed, AS Roma have won three times in Turin (2-0 on 25 May 2025, 2-0 on 18 January 2026, 3-0 on 20 May 2022), while Torino’s two recent wins both came away in Rome.
• Season statistics show Torino averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per match, while AS Roma average 3.3 scored and just 0.3 conceded across their first three fixtures.

Torino vs AS Roma — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 13 vs 1
• Points: 3 vs 9
• Goals For: 4 vs 10
• Goals Against: 5 vs 1
• Clean Sheets: Torino 0, AS Roma 2 (season statistics)

The early standings underline just how sharp the contrast is between these two sides. Torino’s record of 1 win and 2 defeats from 3 matches, with a negative goal difference of -1, reflects a team still bedding in and vulnerable at the back. Their home record so far is worrying: 1-2 in their only game in Turin, conceding twice and failing to control the contest defensively.

AS Roma, meanwhile, have started like genuine title contenders. Three wins from three, 10 goals scored and only 1 conceded is an elite profile. They have been dominant both at home (two wins, 6-1 on aggregate) and away (one 4-0 victory), and their clean sheet count of two from three shows a defensive platform to match their attacking firepower. On paper, this is top vs mid-table in every meaningful metric.

Torino vs AS Roma Key Matchups

C. Adams vs D. Malen

Che Adams has been Torino’s standout attacking threat so far. In 3 appearances (2 starts, 193 minutes), he has scored 2 of Torino’s 4 league goals, with a solid 7.0 rating. He has been clinical, turning all 3 of his shots on target into a perfect on-target record, and has contributed 2 key passes with 83% passing accuracy. For a Torino side that averages 1.3 goals per game, Adams’ finishing and link play are central to their attacking hopes.

Donyell Malen, however, is operating at a different level. The AS Roma forward leads the Serie A scoring charts here with 5 goals in 3 appearances (all starts, 198 minutes) and an outstanding 8.17 rating. He has taken 11 shots with 7 on target, underlining both volume and accuracy, and has also chipped in with 3 key passes and 80% pass accuracy. His dribbling numbers (13 attempts, 8 successful) show he can create his own chances as well as finish moves. Torino must find a way to limit service into Malen and stop him running at their back line, or this matchup could tilt the game decisively Roma’s way.

P. Dybala vs Torino midfield unit

While Torino lack a listed high-assist creator in the data, AS Roma have one of the league’s most influential playmakers in Paulo Dybala. In 3 appearances (all starts, 253 minutes), Dybala has already delivered 4 assists, with no goals yet but an exceptional 8.63 rating. His creative output is elite: 164 passes completed with 82% accuracy, including 14 key passes in just three games. He also averages 4 shots per match (12 total, 4 on target), so he is both creator and shooter.

Torino’s midfield, built around players such as R. Mandragora, N. Vlašić and Daniel Bragança from the squad list, will have to compress space between the lines to prevent Dybala from receiving in dangerous pockets. If they cannot disrupt his rhythm, his combination play with Malen and Matías Soulé — who adds 2 goals and 1 assist in 3 games — could overwhelm Torino’s defensive structure.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

Recent clashes between Torino and AS Roma have been tight but generally favourable to the Giallorossi, especially in Turin. Torino, however, have shown they can hurt Roma in the capital, which keeps this fixture tactically intriguing.

• 18 January 2026: Torino 0-2 AS Roma (Serie A)
• 13 January 2026: AS Roma 2-3 Torino (Coppa Italia)
• 14 September 2025: AS Roma 0-1 Torino (Serie A)
• 25 May 2025: Torino 0-2 AS Roma (Serie A)
• 31 October 2024: AS Roma 1-0 Torino (Serie A)

Torino vs AS Roma Prediction

Stats suggest AS Roma travel to Turin as clear favourites. Their recent form is perfect, with three straight wins, 10 goals scored and just one conceded, and they have a strong track record at this venue, winning 2-0 here as recently as 18 January 2026 and 25 May 2025. Torino, by contrast, come into this with back-to-back losses in their last two league outings and a defence conceding 1.7 goals per game.

The prediction model assigns a 50% chance to an AS Roma win and 50% to the draw, with virtually no probability given to a home victory. That split reflects both Roma’s superiority and some respect for Torino’s ability to frustrate and occasionally upset the odds, as seen in their 3-2 Coppa Italia win and 1-0 league success in Rome. Even so, Roma’s attacking trio of Dybala, Malen and Soulé, combined with a defence that has kept two clean sheets, should be enough to edge a competitive game.

Predicted Score: Torino 1-2 AS Roma

Torino Recent Form

Torino’s recent form reads as one win followed by two consecutive defeats. Across those 3 matches they have scored 4 goals (1.3 per game) and conceded 5 (1.7 per game). At home they have played once, losing 1-2, and their defensive numbers highlight issues in the second half, with a significant share of goals conceded between the 31st and 90th minutes. They have yet to keep a clean sheet and have not failed to score in any of their three games, so matches tend to be open and high on chances at both ends.

AS Roma Recent Form

AS Roma are in outstanding form with three wins from three, all in Serie A. They have scored 10 goals (3.3 per game) and conceded just 1 (0.3 per game). Their attack has been explosive, hitting 4 goals in their only away match and producing a 4-0 home win in their biggest result. Defensively, they have recorded two clean sheets, and the only goal conceded came shortly after half-time in one fixture. With a three-game winning streak and dominant underlying numbers in attack and defence, Roma arrive in Turin full of confidence.

Torino Possible Starting Lineup

GK: F. Israel or Lucas Perri; Defenders: C. Biraghi, Saúl Coco, E. Cömert, N. Patterson; Midfielders: R. Mandragora, Daniel Bragança, C. Casadei, N. Vlašić, G. Oristanio; Forwards: C. Adams, G. Simeone, D. Zapata, Z. Aboukhlal (selection from available key players).

Torino have several options at centre-back, including Saúl Coco and E. Cömert, and experienced width via C. Biraghi and N. Patterson. In midfield, R. Mandragora and Daniel Bragança can provide control, while N. Vlašić and G. Oristanio offer creativity behind the forwards. Up front, the coach can choose between the in-form C. Adams, the work rate of G. Simeone and the physical presence of D. Zapata, with Z. Aboukhlal adding pace. Expect a flexible back three or five, as indicated by their use of 3-4-2-1, 5-3-2 and 3-1-4-2 so far.

AS Roma Possible Starting Lineup

GK: M. Svilar; Defenders: L. Balerdi, G. Mancini, E. Ndicka, N. Molina; Midfielders: B. Cristante, M. de Roon, L. Pellegrini; Forwards: P. Dybala, D. Malen, M. Soulé.

Roma’s squad profile and early-season formations (primarily 3-4-2-1 and 3-4-1-2) point to a back three anchored by G. Mancini and E. Ndicka, with L. Balerdi or N. Molina providing balance. In midfield, B. Cristante and M. de Roon offer defensive solidity and distribution, while L. Pellegrini can link play. The real danger lies in the attacking line: P. Dybala as chief creator with 4 assists, D. Malen as the primary goalscorer with 5 goals, and M. Soulé contributing both goals and assists. This structure allows Roma to dominate possession and create high-quality chances.

Torino Team News

No significant absences reported.

AS Roma Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Torino:

• None reported.

AS Roma:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: Torino vs AS Roma

Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:

• Result Tip: Back AS Roma to win. The prediction model gives Roma a 50% chance of victory and 50% for the draw, with essentially no probability assigned to a Torino win. Roma’s perfect start (3 wins from 3, 10-1 goal difference) and strong recent record in Turin support this. Across the bookmakers, Roma are priced between 1.54 and 1.65, implying an approximate probability range of 60.6% to 64.9%.
• Goals Tip: Over 1.5 total goals. Torino’s matches average 3.0 goals per game (4 scored, 5 conceded), and Roma’s average is 3.3 goals per game (10 scored, 1 conceded). The prediction advice also leans towards AS Roma and over 1.5 goals. While exact over/under odds are not listed here, the strong attacking numbers for Roma and Torino’s leaky defence make a multi-goal game likely.
• Value Tip: AS Roma to win and over 1.5 goals in a combo market. With Malen (5 goals), Dybala (4 assists) and Soulé (2 goals, 1 assist) in excellent form, Roma are well placed to both win and contribute to a game with at least two goals. Given Roma’s match-winner odds ranging from 1.54 to 1.65, the combined market should offer a more attractive price while still aligning with the statistical edge.

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.