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Tottenham vs Everton Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

Tottenham welcome Everton to Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on 12 September 2026 in a Premier League clash that already feels significant at both ends of the early table. The hosts sit 18th after three rounds with just one point and no goals scored, while the visitors arrive in North London in far better shape, unbeaten and in the top half.

For Tottenham, this fixture is about stopping the slide and finding a first league win of the campaign. Their attacking issues are stark: three games, zero goals, and a negative goal difference of -5. Everton, by contrast, have started brightly, sitting 8th with five points, five goals scored and only three conceded. With both sides historically producing entertaining encounters, bettors searching for Tottenham vs Everton prediction angles and Premier League betting tips will see a clear contrast between current form and long-term head-to-head trends.

The recent history at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium strongly favours the hosts, but the form lines and early-season momentum point towards Everton. That tension between H2H dominance and present performance underpins this matchup and shapes the key betting markets ahead of kick-off.

Tottenham vs Everton Key Stats

  • Tottenham are 18th in the Premier League with 1 point from 3 matches, scoring 0 and conceding 5.
  • Everton’s last visit to Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on 24 May 2026 ended in a 1-0 home win for Tottenham in the Premier League.
  • Across their 3 league matches this season, Everton average 1.7 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game, while Tottenham average 0.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.

Tottenham vs Everton — Tale of the Tape

  • Position: 18 vs 8
  • Points: 1 vs 5
  • Goals For: 0 vs 5
  • Goals Against: 5 vs 3
  • Clean Sheets: Tottenham 1 (all comps this league season), Everton 1

After three Premier League fixtures in 2026, the table tells a clear story. Tottenham’s solitary point from three games, combined with a goal difference of -5, leaves them in the relegation zone in 18th place. They have failed to score in all three matches and conceded five, with their only defensive positive being a single clean sheet away from home.

Everton, meanwhile, have made a controlled start. Eighth place with five points from three games (one win and two draws) reflects both resilience and balance. They have found the net five times and conceded three, maintaining an unbeaten record. With a goals-for average of 1.7 and just 1.0 against per match, they look far sharper in both boxes than their hosts at this early stage.

Tottenham vs Everton Key Matchups

D. Udogie vs B. Johnson

Destiny Udogie stands out for Tottenham in the disciplinary charts and defensive metrics. The left-sided defender has made 3 Premier League appearances this season, logging 92 minutes with 1 tackle, 1 interception and 7 duels won from 14 contested. He has also picked up 1 yellow card, underlining his combative style on the flank.

For Everton, Brennan Johnson has been a busy presence in advanced areas. Across 3 appearances and 100 minutes, he has contributed 1 shot, 2 key passes and 22 total passes at 77% accuracy, as well as 2 tackles and 2 interceptions. He has also collected 1 yellow card. The battle between Udogie’s aggressive defending and Johnson’s direct running and creative involvement on Everton’s right could be decisive in determining who controls that channel.

H. Hackney vs Tottenham midfield unit

Hayden Hackney has emerged as a key creative outlet for Everton. In 3 appearances (122 minutes), the midfielder has provided 1 assist and created 3 key passes, with 75 total passes at an impressive 89% accuracy. Defensively, he has chipped in with 3 tackles, 2 blocks and 2 interceptions, showing he can contribute on both sides of the ball.

Tottenham’s midfield options are numerous, but none feature in the top assists or scorers lists yet, highlighting their attacking struggles. Hackney’s ability to progress the ball and link with Everton’s forwards against a Spurs side that has failed to score and has conceded steadily could tilt the central battle in the visitors’ favour, especially in transitions.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

This is a long-running Premier League fixture with a recent history that leans towards Tottenham, particularly in London. The last ten meetings have produced a mix of high-scoring encounters and tight draws, with Spurs generally strong at home.

  • 24 May 2026: Tottenham 1-0 Everton (Premier League)
  • 26 October 2025: Everton 0-3 Tottenham (Premier League)
  • 19 January 2025: Everton 3-2 Tottenham (Premier League)
  • 24 August 2024: Tottenham 4-0 Everton (Premier League)
  • 3 February 2024: Everton 2-2 Tottenham (Premier League)

Tottenham vs Everton Prediction

Stats suggest a clash between Tottenham’s historical dominance in this fixture and Everton’s superior current form. Tottenham’s recent Premier League form is poor: no wins, no goals scored, and two defeats in three. Their defensive record is also fragile, conceding an average of 1.7 goals per match, with a notable concentration of goals allowed in the final half-hour of games.

Everton arrive unbeaten, with a “WDD” league form line and a more potent attack that scores 1.7 goals per game. They have shown a tendency to strike late, with a significant share of their goals coming in the 76–90 minute window, which could be crucial against a Spurs side that has struggled to maintain defensive concentration across 90 minutes.

The prediction model gives Tottenham only a 10% chance of victory, with a 45% probability for a draw and 45% for an Everton win. That effectively rates Everton and the stalemate as equally likely outcomes, with Spurs clear outsiders despite home advantage. Given Tottenham’s attacking drought and Everton’s balanced early-season profile, a low-scoring contest where the visitors avoid defeat looks the most plausible scenario.

Predicted Score: Tottenham 0-1 Everton

Tottenham Recent Form

Tottenham’s recent form in the Premier League is poor. With a record of “DLL” in the standings, they have taken just one point from three matches, losing twice and drawing once. They have yet to score, while conceding five, and their last-five form index sits at 11 out of 100, with attacking performance rated at 0 and defensive at 38. It paints the picture of a side short on confidence in front of goal and under pressure at the back.

Everton Recent Form

Everton’s recent form is encouraging. Their league record of “WDD” shows one win and two draws from three matches, keeping them unbeaten. They have scored five and conceded three, and their last-five form index is 56 out of 100, with attack and defence both rated at 63. This balance between scoring and solidity underpins their strong start and contrasts sharply with Tottenham’s struggles.

Tottenham Possible Starting Lineup

GK: B. Austin or M. Dúbravka; Defenders: Pedro Porro, M. Senesi, J. van Hecke, D. Udogie, M. van de Ven, B. Davies; Midfielders: R. Bentancur, C. Gallagher, J. Maddison, X. Simons, S. Tonali, M. Kudus, L. Bergvall; Forwards/Attackers: Richarlison, D. Solanke, Omar Marmoush, M. Mudryk, Sávio, M. Tel.

Tottenham have a deep squad with several high-profile attacking options, yet the early-season numbers show a unit that has failed to click. The most-used formation so far is 4-2-3-1, suggesting a single striker supported by creative midfielders such as J. Maddison and X. Simons. Defensively, the presence of D. Udogie, M. Senesi and M. van de Ven offers physicality and mobility, but the side has still conceded five times in three matches and failed to keep a home clean sheet.

Everton Possible Starting Lineup

GK: J. Pickford; Defenders: J. Tarkowski, J. Branthwaite, V. Mykolenko, M. Keane, Elijah Xavier Campbell; Midfielders: J. Garner, K. Dewsbury-Hall, C. Nørgaard, H. Hackney, C. Alcaraz, J. Grealish; Forwards/Attackers: B. Johnson, T. Barry, T. Dibling, Tyrique George.

Everton have also favoured a 4-2-3-1 shape across their opening fixtures. The back line anchored by J. Tarkowski and J. Branthwaite has conceded just three goals, while the midfield blend of work-rate and creativity is highlighted by H. Hackney’s passing accuracy and chance creation. In attack, B. Johnson provides direct running and pressing from wide areas, and players like T. Barry and T. Dibling offer additional threat. The balance across the XI has underpinned their unbeaten start.

Tottenham Team News

No significant absences reported.

Everton Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Tottenham:

  • None reported.

Everton:

  • None reported.

Betting Tips: Tottenham vs Everton

Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:

  • Result Tip: Everton or Draw (Double Chance). With Tottenham given only a 10% win probability and Everton and the draw each at 45%, the visitors are strongly favoured to avoid defeat. The market, however, still prices Tottenham as favourites: home odds range from 1.95 to 2.05 (implied probability roughly 48.8%–51.3%), while Everton’s away odds sit between 3.60 and 3.86 (about 25.9%–27.8%). Taking Everton on the double chance, or simply backing Everton Draw No Bet where available, offers a way to side with current form and model probabilities against a market still leaning towards Spurs.
  • Goals Tip: Under 3.5 goals. Tottenham have yet to score in three league matches and average 1.7 goals conceded per game. Everton’s matches average 2.7 total goals (1.7 for, 1.0 against), and the predictions advice explicitly leans towards a low total with a “-3.5 goals” angle. Given Spurs’ attacking struggles and Everton’s solid, controlled start, backing a relatively low-scoring game aligns with both recent data and the model’s under-lean.
  • Value Tip: Everton to score the last goal. Everton have scored a significant share of their goals late, with many coming in the 76–90 minute period, while Tottenham concede a notable proportion in the final third of matches. With away odds around 3.60–3.86 for the outright win (≈25.9%–27.8% implied), derivative markets such as “Everton last team to score” can offer better value than simply backing them on the 1X2. Their late-scoring pattern against a fragile Spurs defence makes this a logical high-upside angle.

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.

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