Bologna host Parma at Stadio Renato Dall’Ara on 8 February 2026 in Serie A’s Regular Season Round 24. Bologna sit 10th on 30 points, while Parma are 16th with 23 points and a worrying -15 goal difference, so the visitors are much closer to the relegation battle. Recent head-to-heads slightly favor Bologna: they have won three of the last five meetings in all competitions, including a 2–1 Coppa Italia victory at Dall’Ara and a 3–1 league success away in Parma.
Team analysis
Form points to a mixed picture for Bologna. Their recent league sequence “LLLWD” shows inconsistency, but over the season they have scored 32 goals in 23 games (1.4 per match). At home, Bologna average 1.1 goals scored and 1.2 conceded, with 4 wins in 11. The statistics suggest a relatively solid, if unspectacular, side: 6 clean sheets overall and only 4 league matches all season going over 2.5 goals. Defensively they will miss Jhon Lucumí and Kevin Bonifazi, both ruled out, which slightly weakens their back line. In attack, however, they keep their main weapons: top scorer Riccardo Orsolini (7 goals) and Santiago Castro (6 goals) are both fit, supported creatively by Nicolò Cambiaghi and Emil Holm, each with 4 assists.
Parma’s momentum is also shaky with “LLDDW” in their last five. Their biggest issue is scoring: just 15 goals in 23 league games (0.7 per match), and only 7 goals in 11 away outings (0.6 per game). On the road they concede 1.2 per match, very similar to Bologna’s home defensive average, underlining a generally low-scoring profile. Parma do collect clean sheets (7 overall, 4 away), but their attack fails to score in more than half of their games (12 “failed to score” in 23). Several absences – including M. Frigan, A. Ndiaye, Z. Suzuki and L. Valenti – further reduce depth, although key scorer Mateo Pellegrino (6 goals) is available.
Key stat: Parma have not had a single league game over 2.5 goals this season (0/23), while only 4 of Bologna’s 23 have gone over that line.
Verdict & score prediction (with odds angle)
Form and numbers point to a tight, low-scoring contest where Bologna’s superior attacking options and home advantage should edge it. With Bologna averaging 1.1 scored at home and Parma 0.6 away, a 1–0 or 2–0 home win looks most plausible.
Predicted score: Bologna 2–0 Parma.
