Fiorentina host Torino at Stadio Artemio Franchi in Florence on 7 February 2026, with both sides desperate for points in Serie A. Fiorentina sit 18th and currently in the relegation zone, while Torino are 13th but far from safe. Recent meetings have been extremely tight: across the last five league games between these clubs, neither side has scored more than once in any match.
The statistics suggest Fiorentina are underperforming badly. They have only 3 wins from 23 league games and a goal difference of -11, with a modest 15 goals scored and 17 conceded at home. Their overall form string “LLWDD” underlines inconsistency, but they have drawn their last two in the league, hinting at some stabilisation. At home they average 1.4 goals scored and 1.5 conceded, pointing to relatively balanced but low‑margin contests. Top scorer Rolando Mandragora (6 league goals) is available and not listed among the absentees, which is a crucial positive for the hosts. However, the absence of T. Lamptey and the possible loss of D. Rugani may weaken their defensive options.
Torino arrive with a slightly better league position and points tally (26), but their recent form “WLLLL” is alarming, with four defeats in their last five. Away from home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses, scoring 10 and conceding 20; the 0.9 goals scored versus 1.8 conceded away suggests vulnerability on the road. Defensively, they are further hit by the confirmed absences of A. Ismajli, P. Schuurs and Z. Savva, plus the suspension of M. Prati and N. Vlasic. Several more players are listed as questionable, which could significantly disrupt their structure. Historically, Fiorentina have edged the home games in this matchup, including a 1–0 win in Florence in 2023.
Given Fiorentina’s slightly stronger attacking numbers at home and Torino’s leaky away defence, form points to a narrow home success in a low‑scoring game. A 1–0 or 2–1 scoreline for Fiorentina looks most plausible; the head‑to‑head trend of tight, low‑scoring encounters supports a cautious goal expectation. From an odds perspective, Fiorentina should be marginal favourites on the 1X2 market, while under 2.5 goals and “Both Teams to Score – No” appear statistically justified based on both teams’ scoring and conceding averages and their recent head‑to‑head record.
