One Knoxville vs Chattanooga Red Wolves Prediction: Key Stats and Tips

One Knoxville welcome Chattanooga Red Wolves to Regal Stadium on 10 June 2026 in a USL League One Cup Group Stage clash that already feels pivotal in Group 3. With both sides sitting in the lower reaches of the group, this derby-style meeting carries extra weight for qualification hopes and local bragging rights alike.

The standings underline the stakes. One Knoxville are 5th in Group 3 with 2 points from 2 matches, sitting on a neutral goal difference. Chattanooga Red Wolves are just behind in 6th with 1 point, having struggled at both ends of the pitch and carrying a negative goal difference. With group games limited, this fixture offers One Knoxville a chance to consolidate an early advantage, while Chattanooga desperately need a result to avoid being cut adrift.

Regal Stadium has already hosted this rivalry in league play, and recent history between One Knoxville and Chattanooga Red Wolves suggests tight, hard-fought encounters. For bettors and fans looking for a One Knoxville vs Chattanooga Red Wolves prediction, the numbers point towards a low-scoring contest where the hosts hold the edge but cannot afford any complacency.

One Knoxville vs Chattanooga Red Wolves Key Stats

• One Knoxville have taken 2 points from 2 USL League One Cup group matches, scoring 4 and conceding 4 overall.
• In their most recent meeting at Regal Stadium on 1 October 2025 in USL League One, One Knoxville beat Chattanooga Red Wolves 2-0.
• In the current USL League One Cup campaign, One Knoxville average 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match, while Chattanooga Red Wolves average 0.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.

One Knoxville vs Chattanooga Red Wolves — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 5 vs 6
• Points: 2 vs 1
• Goals For: 4 vs 3
• Goals Against: 4 vs 5
• Clean Sheets: 0 vs 0

The group standings paint a picture of two sides under pressure, but with One Knoxville marginally better placed. They have 2 points from 2 games and a goal difference of zero, having scored and conceded 4. That suggests an open start to the group, but their underlying cup statistics show a more balanced profile: 2 goals scored and 2 conceded across 2 fixtures, with one win and one defeat.

Chattanooga Red Wolves, by contrast, sit 6th with just 1 point and a goal difference of -2. They have failed to win any of their 2 group matches, losing both at home, scoring only once and conceding three. Their average of 0.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game in this competition underlines their struggles in both boxes. With no clean sheets for either side so far, defensive concentration will be a key theme, but the data suggests Chattanooga have more issues to resolve.

One Knoxville vs Chattanooga Red Wolves Key Matchups

Midfield battle and transition play

With no individual scoring or assist leaders available from the current USL League One Cup campaign, the key matchup is collective rather than about a single star. One Knoxville’s overall cup record shows 1 win and 1 loss from 2 matches, with a biggest away win of 1-2 and a home defeat of 0-1. That indicates a side comfortable hitting on the break away from home but still searching for fluency at Regal Stadium.

Chattanooga Red Wolves have lost both of their cup fixtures so far, including a 1-2 home defeat that stands as their heaviest loss. Their attack averages just 0.5 goals per game, while conceding 1.5 on average. The midfield battle will therefore revolve around whether Chattanooga can disrupt One Knoxville’s ability to find that one crucial goal while not leaving themselves exposed in transition.

Defensive resilience vs late goals

Defensively, One Knoxville concede on average 1.0 goal per match in the competition, with their biggest defeat only by a single goal (0-1 at home). Chattanooga’s defence has been more porous, allowing 1.5 goals per match and conceding in key early and mid-second-half windows. With Chattanooga having already failed to score in one of their two cup games, the onus will be on their back line to keep the contest tight long enough for their forwards to find a breakthrough.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

This rivalry has been busy in recent years across USL League One and the USL League One Cup. The sides have met frequently since 2023, with results swinging both ways. Below are the five most recent encounters, illustrating how evenly matched these clubs have been over time.

• 1 October 2025: One Knoxville 2-0 Chattanooga Red Wolves (USL League One)
• 26 July 2025: Chattanooga Red Wolves 1-0 One Knoxville (USL League One Cup)
• 5 July 2025: Chattanooga Red Wolves 1-0 One Knoxville (USL League One)
• 5 October 2024: Chattanooga Red Wolves 1-1 One Knoxville (USL League One)
• 16 August 2024: One Knoxville 4-1 Chattanooga Red Wolves (USL League One)

One Knoxville vs Chattanooga Red Wolves Prediction

Recent head-to-head meetings show both sides capable of winning this fixture, but current cup form and the underlying comparison metrics tilt the balance towards One Knoxville. They have a stronger recent form rating, with their last five showing 50% overall performance and better attacking and defensive metrics than Chattanooga. The comparison numbers give One Knoxville the edge in form, attack, defence and overall strength.

The prediction percentages reinforce that picture: One Knoxville are given a 45% chance of victory, with the draw also at 45% and Chattanooga Red Wolves down at just 10%. Advice leans towards a double chance on the hosts or draw combined with a low total goals line, reflecting expectations of a tight, low-scoring contest. With projected goals for both sides set conservatively and both teams yet to keep a clean sheet, a narrow home win or a cagey draw looks most likely.

Predicted Score: One Knoxville 1-1 Chattanooga Red Wolves

One Knoxville League Form

LW

Chattanooga Red Wolves League Form

LL

One Knoxville Possible Starting Lineup

J. Burke; J. Brown, Bull, S. McLeod, Finn McRobb; T. Baker, A. Caputo, R. Gill, J. Murphy; B. Diene, S. Zarokóstas

One Knoxville have depth across the pitch, with two goalkeepers in J. Burke and J. Garibay competing for the starting role. At the back, options such as J. Brown, Bull, S. McLeod, Finn McRobb, W. Perkins, J. Skelton, C. Tiao and Donovan Williams give flexibility between a back four or a three-man defence. In midfield, the presence of T. Baker, A. Caputo, R. Gill, M. Goling, J. Murphy and N. Rosamilia allows for both defensive solidity and creativity. Up front, attackers like E. Conway, B. Diene, D. Krioutchenkov, K. Linhares, B. P. Rodrigues and S. Zarokóstas provide multiple profiles to attack Chattanooga’s vulnerable back line.

Chattanooga Red Wolves Possible Starting Lineup

J. Smith; T. Adewole, J. Ayimbila, P. Hernandez, H. Jolley; M. Acosta, O. Hernandez, J. Ramos, J. Vaughan; M. Bentley, R. Mensah

Chattanooga Red Wolves also boast a sizeable squad. In goal, R. Jerez, A. Montoya and J. Smith offer experience and youth. The defence can be built around T. Adewole, J. Ayimbila, P. Hernandez, H. Jolley, E. Kinzner, Y. Lelin and A. Lombardi, giving the coach scope to adjust shape in search of greater solidity. The midfield unit features M. Acosta, N. Donoho, O. Hernandez, J. Maldonado, J. Ramos, O. Tapia, T. Torres Aguayo, J. Vaughan and W. Wessels, while the attack is led by M. Bentley, R. Mensah and G. Mercer. The challenge is turning that depth into a more potent attacking threat after a slow start to the group.

One Knoxville Team News

No significant absences reported.

Chattanooga Red Wolves Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

One Knoxville:

• None reported.

Chattanooga Red Wolves:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: One Knoxville vs Chattanooga Red Wolves

Exactly 3 distinct tips from different markets:

• Result Tip: Back One Knoxville or Draw in the double chance market. The prediction percentages give One Knoxville a 45% win probability and the draw another 45%, with Chattanooga down at 10%. Combined with Chattanooga’s “LL” form and two defeats from two in the cup, siding against an away win looks a solid angle. (No odds available.)
• Goals Tip: Under 3.5 total goals. Both sides have low scoring averages in the competition — One Knoxville at 1.0 goals for and 1.0 against per game, Chattanooga at 0.5 for and 1.5 against — and the recommended advice already points towards a low-goal scenario. A tight group-stage match with plenty at stake should keep the scoreline modest. (No odds available.)
• Value Tip: Both teams to score – No. Chattanooga have failed to score in one of their two cup games and average only 0.5 goals per match, while One Knoxville have already failed to score once themselves. With both teams yet to keep a clean sheet but the overall attacking numbers modest, a game where one side blanks carries value. (No odds available.)

How to Watch One Knoxville vs Chattanooga Red Wolves

Broadcast coverage varies by region. General guide:

• Spain: Movistar LaLiga
• UK: Premier Sports
• Australia: beIN Sports
• India: FanCode
• MENA: beIN Sports
• South America: ESPN / Disney+
• Africa: SuperSport

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.