Everton host Bournemouth at Hill Dickinson Stadium in Liverpool on 10 February 2026, with A. Madley appointed as referee. In the Premier League table, Everton sit 8th on 37 points, while Bournemouth are 11th with 34 points. The standings suggest a mid‑table but tightly packed battle, where a win could push either side closer to European contention. Recent head‑to‑head clashes have been evenly poised: across the last five meetings, Bournemouth have three wins and Everton two, including a 3–2 away success and a 3–0 Summer Series victory, while Everton edged the most recent league game 1–0 away. History therefore gives Bournemouth a slight psychological edge, especially in high‑scoring encounters.
Team analysis
Form points to two sides in decent shape. Everton’s recent league sequence (WDDWD) is solid, and their broader season form string shows they are inconsistent but rarely collapse. At home, they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses, with 15 goals scored and 16 conceded: both goals for and against average 1.3 per home game, underlining a generally tight, low‑scoring profile. They have also kept 4 home clean sheets from 12. However, the statistics highlight a late‑goal tendency, with 33.33% of their league goals coming between minutes 76–90.
Squad‑wise, Everton suffer a major creative blow: Jack Grealish, the league’s 4th‑best assist provider with 6 assists and 2 goals, is ruled out through a foot injury. The statistics suggest his absence will reduce Everton’s chance creation and limit their attacking ceiling.
Bournemouth’s momentum is strong (DWWDW in the table) and their attack is clearly more explosive: 41 league goals, with an impressive 1.8 goals per game away from home. Yet their away defence is a concern, conceding 30 in 12 away matches (2.5 per game). They tend to both score and concede late, with 28.57% of their goals for and 30.23% of goals against coming in the final 15 minutes. Key man Antoine Semenyo, with 10 goals and 3 assists, is available, as is 8‑goal forward Eli Junior Kroupi. Bournemouth do, however, face a long injury list (J. Kluivert, J. Soler, M. Tavernier all out; T. Adams questionable), which slightly reduces their attacking depth.
Verdict & score prediction
The statistics suggest a clash between Everton’s more controlled, low‑margin home style and Bournemouth’s high‑variance away profile. Everton’s stronger defensive numbers at home (1.3 conceded) contrast with Bournemouth’s leaky away back line (2.5 conceded), but Grealish’s absence is a significant creative handicap. History marginally favors Bournemouth, and their attacking averages away from home are superior.
Prediction: Everton 1–2 Bournemouth.
Everton’s reduced creativity and Bournemouth’s 1.8 away goals per game tilt the balance towards the visitors, in a match where late goals are highly likely.
Odds‑style analysis
Based purely on the provided data, a fair‑odds style model would likely rate Bournemouth slightly more likely to win than the raw table suggests, due to:
- Attack vs defence: Bournemouth’s away goals for (1.8) against Everton’s home goals against (1.3) indicate good scoring potential.
- Everton’s attack without Grealish: with only 1.3 home goals per game even with him, their true attacking level here may be closer to or below 1 goal.
- High‑scoring Bournemouth away games: 2.5 goals conceded plus 1.8 scored suggests an average of 4.3 total goals in their away matches, making “Both Teams to Score” and over 2.5 goals data‑friendly angles, even if Everton’s season‑long under/over record is conservative.
Might be interesting for you:
