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Venezia vs Inter Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

Bottom hosts top at Stadio Pierluigi Penzo on 28 October 2026 as Venezia welcome Inter in Serie A Regular Season - 9. The Venetians are rooted to 20th with just 3 points from 8 matches, while Inter arrive in Venice sitting 1st on 22 points and unbeaten, already looking every inch like title favourites.

For Venezia, this is about survival and damage limitation as much as it is about points. They have lost 7 of 8 league games, own the worst goal difference in the division at -11 and concede more than twice per match on average. Inter, by contrast, boast the league’s most explosive attack with 23 goals in 8 games and one of the strongest defensive records. Recent head-to-head clashes have also been brutally one-sided, adding another layer of difficulty for the hosts.

With such a stark gap in quality, form and depth, this Venezia vs Inter prediction centres on whether the visitors can turn domination into a routine win or a statement thrashing, and whether the hosts can find any route to an upset at a stadium that has not been a fortress so far this campaign.

Venezia vs Inter Key Stats

  • Venezia are 20th in Serie A with 3 points from 8 matches (1 win, 0 draws, 7 defeats), scoring 6 and conceding 17.
  • Inter are 1st with 22 points from 8 matches (7 wins, 1 draw, 0 defeats), with 23 goals scored and only 10 conceded.
  • In the last five competitive meetings, Inter have won every match, including a 5-1 Coppa Italia victory on 3 December 2025 at San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza.
  • Venezia’s Serie A statistics show an average of 0.8 goals scored and 2.1 conceded per game across 8 matches.
  • Inter’s Serie A statistics show an average of 3.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game across 7 matches.

Venezia vs Inter — Tale of the Tape

  • Position: 20 vs 1
  • Points: 3 vs 22
  • Goals For: 6 vs 23
  • Goals Against: 17 vs 10
  • Clean Sheets: Venezia 1 (tournament statistics), Inter 2 (tournament statistics)

The standings underline the gulf between these sides. Venezia have taken just 3 points from their opening 8 fixtures, with 1 win and 7 defeats, and a goal difference of -11. They have scored only 6 times and conceded 17, and their home record (1 win, 3 losses, 3 goals for, 8 against) offers little comfort ahead of hosting the league leaders.

Inter, on the other hand, are setting the pace at the top. They have 7 wins and 1 draw from 8, with a +13 goal difference. Away from home they remain unbeaten (2 wins, 1 draw, 6 goals scored, 3 conceded). Their broader Serie A statistics reinforce the picture: across 7 recorded matches in the stats block, they average 3.0 goals per game and concede just 1.3, with 2 clean sheets and no defeats. On every measurable metric — points, goals, defensive solidity, consistency — Inter are significantly ahead.

Venezia vs Inter Key Matchups

J. Schingtienne vs M. Thuram

Venezia defender J. Schingtienne will be central to any attempt to contain Inter’s firepower. He has made 7 appearances (5 starts) with 479 minutes, contributing 11 tackles, 2 blocks and 3 interceptions, while maintaining a solid passing accuracy of 88% over 285 passes. However, his aggression shows in 3 yellow cards, and up against an attacker of Marcus Thuram’s profile, discipline will be crucial.

Thuram has been one of Inter’s standout performers. In 6 appearances (4 starts, 369 minutes), he has scored 4 goals and provided 2 assists, with 15 shots (7 on target). His all-round contribution is impressive: 6 key passes, 85 total passes at 85% accuracy, 5 successful tackles and 26 duels won out of 45. He also draws fouls (6) and has completed 3 dribbles from 5 attempts. If Schingtienne cannot stay tight without fouling, Thuram’s movement and physicality could quickly tilt this matchup in Inter’s favour.

Kike Pérez vs N. Barella

In midfield, Venezia’s Kike Pérez is a key figure. He has started all 7 of his appearances, logging 600 minutes. His work rate is evident: 388 passes at 85% accuracy, 12 key passes, 16 tackles, 1 block and 5 interceptions. He is heavily involved in duels (73 total, 33 won) and draws 14 fouls, though he also commits 11 and has picked up 3 yellow cards. His ability to win second balls and progress play will be vital if Venezia are to escape Inter’s press.

Opposite him, Nicolò Barella has been a creative and energetic engine for Inter. In 6 appearances (all starts, 540 minutes), he has 1 goal and 2 assists, with 351 passes at 88% accuracy and an eye-catching 17 key passes. He also contributes defensively with 4 tackles, 1 block and 1 interception, and has completed 9 successful dribbles from 11 attempts. Barella’s capacity to dictate tempo and break lines with both passing and dribbling could overwhelm Venezia’s midfield if Kike Pérez and colleagues cannot close him down effectively.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

Recent meetings between Venezia and Inter have been dominated by the Milan club, both in Serie A and Coppa Italia. The scorelines highlight how consistently Inter have found ways to break down Venezia’s defence, home and away.

  • 3 December 2025: Inter 5-1 Venezia (Coppa Italia)
  • 12 January 2025: Venezia 0-1 Inter (Serie A)
  • 3 November 2024: Inter 1-0 Venezia (Serie A)
  • 22 January 2022: Inter 2-1 Venezia (Serie A)
  • 27 November 2021: Venezia 0-2 Inter (Serie A)

Venezia vs Inter Prediction

All indicators point towards another Inter-controlled encounter. Venezia’s recent league form is poor: 1 win and 4 defeats in their last five, with 6 goals scored and 12 conceded in that span. Their broader run includes a six-game losing streak and only one clean sheet all season. They concede heavily across all phases of the game, with a high share of goals allowed between minutes 16–60, which plays directly into Inter’s strong mid-game surges.

Inter arrive in outstanding shape. Their last five matches show 16 goals scored and 8 conceded, with their attack index and form both extremely high. They have scored in every league match tracked and regularly hit at least two goals, while keeping defensive lapses to a minimum. The comparison model is heavily tilted in Inter’s favour across form, attack, defence and overall indices, and the head-to-head record is entirely one-way.

The prediction probabilities are evenly split between an Inter win and a draw at 50% each, with virtually no expectation of a Venezia victory (0%). Given Inter’s dominance in the standings, goal metrics and H2H history, that suggests a strong leaning towards the visitors avoiding defeat, with a high likelihood of them taking all three points.

Predicted Score: Venezia 0-2 Inter

Venezia Recent Form

Venezia’s recent form is worrying. In the league they have lost 7 of 8 matches, with just a single win and no draws. Their form run includes a long sequence of consecutive defeats and only one clean sheet. At home they have 1 win and 3 losses, scoring 3 and conceding 8. Across 7 recent league fixtures in the extended stats, they average just 0.9 goals scored per game while conceding 2.3, underlining a side struggling both to create and to contain.

Inter Recent Form

Inter’s recent form is excellent. They are unbeaten in the league, with 7 wins and 1 draw from 8 matches, and a strong run of victories in their latest outings. Across 7 recent Serie A fixtures in the stats block, they have 6 wins and 1 draw, scoring 21 goals (3.0 per game) and conceding only 9 (1.3 per game). Their last five matches show particularly potent attacking returns, with 3.2 goals scored on average and just 1.6 conceded, reflecting a side in full flow.

Venezia Possible Starting Lineup

GK: L. Montipò or M. Grandi; Defenders: J. Schingtienne, M. Moreno, A. Bella-Kotchap, Thierry Correia; Midfielders: Kike Pérez, G. Busio, B. Franjić, A. Duncan; Forwards: J. Yeboah, L. Lauberbach.

Venezia’s squad list suggests a back line built around J. Schingtienne and M. Moreno, both regulars and prominent in the disciplinary stats, with options like A. Bella-Kotchap and Thierry Correia providing experience and athleticism. In midfield, Kike Pérez and G. Busio offer work rate and passing, while A. Duncan and B. Franjić add physicality. Up front, J. Yeboah and L. Lauberbach are among the more established attacking options. Tactically, Venezia have frequently used a 3-5-2 shape in their statistics, which could again be deployed to crowd the middle and protect a vulnerable defence against Inter’s multi-layered attack.

Inter Possible Starting Lineup

GK: Josep Martínez; Defenders: M. Akanji, A. Bastoni, B. Pavard or J. Stones; Midfielders: F. Dimarco, N. Barella, H. Çalhanoğlu, A. Diouf, Carlos Augusto; Forwards: Lautaro Martínez, M. Thuram.

Inter’s squad is stacked with quality and depth. At the back, combinations of M. Akanji, A. Bastoni, B. Pavard and J. Stones provide elite-level defending and ball progression. In midfield, N. Barella, H. Çalhanoğlu and A. Diouf bring a blend of creativity, control and work rate, with Çalhanoğlu adding goals (3 already) and set-piece threat, while Diouf leads the assist charts with 3 and a high passing accuracy of 91%. Wide options like F. Dimarco and Carlos Augusto (2 goals, 2 assists, 92% passing) give width and crossing. Up front, the pairing of Lautaro Martínez (4 goals) and M. Thuram (4 goals, 2 assists) is among the most dangerous in Serie A. The stats show Inter mostly operating in a 3-5-2 or 3-1-4-2, systems that should stretch Venezia horizontally and create overloads.

Venezia Team News

Venezia have at least one confirmed absentee. Defender M. Šverko is listed as missing this fixture due to a hip injury. Beyond that, there are no other documented absences, but squad rotation and tactical adjustments are likely as the coach searches for a formula to stabilise results.

Inter Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Venezia:

  • M. Šverko — Reason: Hip Injury

Inter:

  • None reported.

Betting Tips: Venezia vs Inter

Below are three data-driven betting angles for this Serie A clash.

  • Result Tip: Back Inter to win. Inter are unbeaten with 7 wins and 1 draw, top of the table, and have won all of the last five head-to-head meetings. Venezia sit 20th with 7 defeats in 8 and the worst defence in the league. The match-winner odds for an Inter victory range from 1.29 to 1.35 across bookmakers, implying an approximate probability between 74.1% (1 ÷ 1.35 × 100) and 77.5% (1 ÷ 1.29 × 100). That aligns with the overwhelming performance gap.
  • Goals Tip: Inter over 1.5 team goals. Inter average 3.0 goals per game in the league stats and have scored 21 times in 7 recent fixtures, while Venezia concede 2.3 per match in the same span. Recent head-to-heads include scorelines of 5-1, 2-1 and 2-0 in Inter’s favour. With the general over 1.5 goals scenario also supported by the attacking metrics, pairing an Inter win with a goals angle (as suggested by the advice favouring Inter and +1.5 goals) looks logical. Exact odds for this specific market are not listed, but they will be shorter than the straight Inter win prices quoted above.
  • Value Tip: Lautaro Martínez to score anytime. Lautaro has 4 goals in 5 league appearances, with 19 shots (6 on target) and 8 key passes, indicating high involvement in final-third actions. Supported by creators like Barella (17 key passes), Çalhanoğlu (7 key passes, 3 goals) and Diouf (3 assists, 14 key passes), he should get chances against a defence conceding over two goals per game. While player-specific odds are not provided here, the strong underlying numbers and Venezia’s defensive frailty suggest Lautaro as a likely scorer and a potentially valuable angle if priced fairly relative to Inter’s match-winner odds of 1.29–1.35.

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.

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