Bayer Leverkusen host Olympiakos Piraeus at the BayArena on 24 February 2026 in a UEFA Champions League Round of 32 second leg. Leverkusen bring a 2–0 away win from Piraeus into this game and are clear favourites with bookmakers, with home odds clustered around 1.75–1.87 versus 4.00+ for both the draw and the away win. Everything points to the German side controlling this tie.
The official prediction model leans strongly towards Bayer Leverkusen avoiding defeat: “winner: Bayer Leverkusen, comment: Win or draw”, with a double-chance advice and probabilities of 45% home, 45% draw and just 10% for Olympiakos.
That aligns with underlying numbers. In the Champions League, Leverkusen have 12 points from 8 matches (rank 16) with an overall form of DDLWWDLWW, scoring 13 and conceding 14 overall. Across their nine continental outings they have failed to score only once and have kept four clean sheets overall, while at home they average 2.0 goals for and 2.5 against.
Olympiakos, ranked 18th with 11 points, have conceded 14 goals in 9 matches (about 1.6 per game) and 9 in 4 away (2.3 per game). Their overall recent form DLLDLWWWL shows improvement but also inconsistency. Their overall form line DLLDLWWWL shows improvement but also inconsistency. Head-to-head in this campaign shows one win each over two clashes, but Leverkusen’s latest 2–0 victory in Piraeus is a powerful indicator of current superiority.
Squad news slightly dents Leverkusen with several absences (including N. Tella and M. Flekken), but there is no evidence these are decisive star attackers in this Champions League dataset. Olympiakos also list multiple “Inactive” players, suggesting depth issues on their side as well.
Officially, the recommended outcome is the double chance: Bayer Leverkusen or draw.
Given Leverkusen’s stronger defensive metrics (defence comparison 64% vs 36%), better Poisson-based edge (56% vs 44%) and the 2–0 first-leg cushion, a controlled home performance is expected. A logical exact scoreline, based on Leverkusen’s 2.0 home goals for and Olympiakos’ 2.3 away goals against, is a 2–1 home win.
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