FK Crvena Zvezda vs Hapoel Beer Sheva Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips
FK Crvena Zvezda host Hapoel Beer Sheva at Stadion Rajko Mit in Belgrade on 11 August 2026 in the second leg of their UEFA Champions League 3rd Qualifying Round tie. With the Serbian side trailing after the first meeting, this home fixture becomes decisive for their hopes of reaching the play-off round.
Hapoel Beer Sheva claimed a 1-0 win in the first leg in Szombathely on 4 August 2026, putting the Israelis in a strong position. Crvena Zvezda, however, have been prolific in this Champions League campaign, especially at home, and will bank on their attacking firepower and intimidating Belgrade atmosphere to overturn the deficit.
Both teams arrive with identical recent tournament form records but very different profiles: Zvezda are high-scoring with a powerful attack, while Hapoel Beer Sheva have relied on defensive solidity and clean sheets. That contrast in styles should shape a tense, tactical second leg with plenty on the line financially and in terms of European prestige.
FK Crvena Zvezda vs Hapoel Beer Sheva Key Stats
- FK Crvena Zvezda have scored 9 goals and conceded just 1 across 3 UEFA Champions League matches this season.
- The only recent head-to-head meeting saw Hapoel Beer Sheva beat FK Crvena Zvezda 1-0 on 4 August 2026 in the UEFA Champions League 3rd Qualifying Round.
- In this Champions League campaign, FK Crvena Zvezda average 3.0 goals scored per match, while Hapoel Beer Sheva average 1.3.
FK Crvena Zvezda vs Hapoel Beer Sheva — Tale of the Tape
- Position: Not available vs Not available
- Points: Not available vs Not available
- Goals For: Not available vs Not available
- Goals Against: Not available vs Not available
- Clean Sheets: FK Crvena Zvezda 2 vs Hapoel Beer Sheva 2 (tournament statistics)
There is no group-stage standings data yet for this qualifying round tie, but the tournament statistics paint a clear picture of contrasting strengths. FK Crvena Zvezda have played 3 matches, winning 2 and losing 1, with a remarkable 9 goals scored and only 1 conceded. Their biggest wins include a 5-0 home victory and a 4-0 away success, underlining their ability to blow teams away when they click.
Hapoel Beer Sheva have also recorded 2 wins and 1 defeat from 3 Champions League fixtures, scoring 4 and conceding 2. Both of their victories have come at “home” venues, including the 2-0 and 1-0 results that demonstrate a pragmatic, defensively solid approach. Both sides boast 2 clean sheets in the competition, but Zvezda’s attacking volume and higher scoring averages give them a statistical edge going into this second leg.
FK Crvena Zvezda vs Hapoel Beer Sheva Key Matchups
Matheus vs O. Marciano
With no goalscoring or assist data available for individual players, the most relevant duel may actually be between the goalkeepers. FK Crvena Zvezda have shared minutes between goalkeepers, but the experienced Matheus (age 33) is a key option between the posts. Zvezda’s defensive record in the tournament — just 1 goal conceded in 3 matches and 2 clean sheets — suggests whoever starts in goal has been well-protected but also reliable when called upon.
For Hapoel Beer Sheva, O. Marciano (age 36) brings vast experience. His team have also kept 2 clean sheets in 3 Champions League games, conceding only 2 goals. Given Zvezda’s attacking averages (3.0 goals per game) and the need to chase the tie, Marciano’s shot-stopping and command of his area will be critical. The battle between an aggressive home attack and a seasoned away goalkeeper could define the tie.
R. Krunić vs K. Kangwa
In midfield, R. Krunić (age 32) is one of FK Crvena Zvezda’s most experienced central players. With Zvezda often lining up in 4-3-2-1 or 4-2-3-1 shapes in this Champions League campaign, Krunić’s role in linking defence and attack, controlling tempo, and supporting the press is central to sustaining pressure at home.
On the other side, K. Kangwa (age 26) is a key midfield presence for Hapoel Beer Sheva. The Israelis have consistently used a 4-3-3 formation in all three Champions League fixtures, making the midfield battle crucial. Kangwa’s energy and defensive work will be vital in breaking up Zvezda’s build-up and helping Hapoel Beer Sheva transition quickly, especially with a 1-0 aggregate lead to protect.
Head-to-Head: Last Meetings
These sides have only recently met in European competition, with the first leg providing the only recent reference point for this matchup.
- 4 August 2026: Hapoel Beer Sheva 1-0 FK Crvena Zvezda (UEFA Champions League)
FK Crvena Zvezda vs Hapoel Beer Sheva Prediction
Stats suggest this second leg will be defined by FK Crvena Zvezda’s attacking intensity against Hapoel Beer Sheva’s defensive organisation. Zvezda’s Champions League record of 9 goals scored and just 1 conceded in 3 matches points to a side capable of dominating both boxes, especially at home where they have already produced a 5-0 win.
Hapoel Beer Sheva, however, have shown they can frustrate opponents. They have kept 2 clean sheets, concede only 0.7 goals per match on average, and already shut out Zvezda 1-0 in the first leg. Their 4-3-3 structure is built to be compact without the ball and direct on the counter, which suits a scenario where they can defend a lead.
The prediction metrics give FK Crvena Zvezda a 45% chance of winning in 90 minutes, with the draw also at 45% and Hapoel Beer Sheva at 10%. The market is even more bullish on the home side: match-winner odds for Zvezda range from 1.25 to 1.33, implying roughly a 75.2% to 80% chance of a home victory, while away win prices between 8.00 and 9.95 equate to about a 10.1% to 12.5% implied probability. That makes the Serbians clear favourites to win the match, even if overturning the aggregate deficit may still be a tight affair.
Predicted Score: FK Crvena Zvezda 2-0 Hapoel Beer Sheva
FK Crvena Zvezda Recent Form
In this Champions League campaign, FK Crvena Zvezda have 2 wins and 1 defeat from 3 matches, with their form string recorded as “WWL”. They opened with back-to-back victories, including a 5-0 home win and a 4-0 away success, before a narrow 1-0 loss away to Hapoel Beer Sheva in the first leg of this tie. Overall, they average 3.0 goals scored and just 0.3 conceded per game, underlining strong recent form despite the setback in Szombathely.
Hapoel Beer Sheva Recent Form
Hapoel Beer Sheva’s Champions League form also reads “LWW” across 3 fixtures. They began with a defeat away (2-1), then responded with two consecutive home wins, 2-0 and 1-0, the latter coming against FK Crvena Zvezda. They average 1.3 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per match, with 2 clean sheets in that run, highlighting a team that has grown into the competition and tightened up defensively.
FK Crvena Zvezda Possible Starting Lineup
Possible XI (selection from available squad): Matheus (GK); Seol Young-Woo, N. Tiknizyan, M. Veljković, Rodriguão (Defenders); M. Abu Fani, R. Krunić, M. Ivanić (Midfielders); A. Katai, O. Bukari, Bruno Duarte (Forwards/attacking roles).
Zvezda have used 4-3-2-1 and 4-2-3-1 systems in their three Champions League matches, suggesting a flexible approach that balances midfield control with wide attacking threats. Players like A. Katai and O. Bukari can operate between the lines or from the flanks, while Bruno Duarte offers a focal point up front. With 2 clean sheets and only 1 goal conceded, the back line built around experienced defenders such as M. Veljković and Rodriguão has been reliable, allowing the full-backs, including Seol Young-Woo and N. Tiknizyan, to support the attack.
Hapoel Beer Sheva Possible Starting Lineup
Possible XI (selection from available squad): O. Marciano (GK); G. Mizrahi, M. Vítor, M. Baltaxa, O. Davidzada (Defenders); K. Kangwa, R. Levy, Lucas Ventura (Midfielders); E. Almog, D. Biton, Z. Ahmed (Attackers).
Hapoel Beer Sheva have consistently lined up in a 4-3-3 formation across their 3 Champions League fixtures. The centre-back pairing of M. Vítor and M. Baltaxa, protected by a hard-working midfield trio led by K. Kangwa, has underpinned their 2 clean sheets. In attack, wide forwards like E. Almog and D. Biton can stretch defences, while Z. Ahmed offers a central threat. With a 1-0 aggregate lead, expect a compact defensive block and quick transitions rather than an expansive approach in Belgrade.
FK Crvena Zvezda Team News
No significant absences reported.
Hapoel Beer Sheva Team News
No significant absences reported.
Injuries & Suspensions
FK Crvena Zvezda:
- None reported.
Hapoel Beer Sheva:
- None reported.
Betting Tips: FK Crvena Zvezda vs Hapoel Beer Sheva
Exactly 3 distinct betting angles based on the available odds and tournament statistics:
- Result Tip: Back FK Crvena Zvezda to win in 90 minutes. The prediction metrics give Zvezda a 45% chance of victory, but bookmakers are even stronger on the home side, with odds between 1.25 and 1.33 implying roughly a 75.2%–80% chance. Their 9 goals scored and just 1 conceded in 3 Champions League games, combined with a formidable home record (including a 5-0 win), make the short price justified.
- Goals Tip: FK Crvena Zvezda to score over 1.5 team goals. Zvezda average 3.0 goals per match in this Champions League campaign and have already produced a 5-goal haul at home. They need to chase the tie after a 1-0 first-leg defeat, which should increase attacking volume. While specific over/under odds are not listed, the strong home-win prices and high scoring average suggest a favourable market for Zvezda to score at least twice.
- Value Tip: Draw in the Match Winner market as a speculative play. The draw is priced between 5.00 and 6.48 across bookmakers, translating to an implied probability range of about 15.4%–20%. The prediction metrics assign a 45% chance to the draw, significantly higher than the market’s implied range. With Hapoel Beer Sheva’s defensive resilience (2 clean sheets, only 2 goals conceded) and their ability to manage a lead, a tight stalemate could offer value at these prices.
Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.
